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Re: % return and trading futures vs. stocks (What to Expect as anew trader?)


  • To: Abhijit Dey <omegalist@xxxxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: Re: % return and trading futures vs. stocks (What to Expect as anew trader?)
  • From: hcarvas <hcarvas8@xxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sat, 02 Oct 2004 15:59:35 -0400

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Abhijit,

I see your point that if one can make a much greater ROI when managing a small fund than a huge amount of capital.

In fact, any thing is possible in the market place. Some market wizards claims to have several hundreds percentage a year. One needs to keep in mind that these are rare individuals and they have already gone through their development and training, NOT when they started out. The market is full of opportunities to let you make a lot of money, IF you have prepared and trained yourself to take advantage of them. Given a certain amount of capital, the most important factor is the trader.

There are many experienced and successful traders in this forum. For those starting out as new traders, the people, who want you to attend their $3000+ trading/investing seminars, would tell what you like to hear (Human nature, we only hear what we like to hear). They will show you the promise of 100% ROI or more easily. All you need to do is to attend their seminars (However, most people find that their trading is no better after the seminars.) That is one of the reasons why so many people have the notion of very high ROI's.
If one starts out a new traders and really have the love for the art of trading, here is the naked truth about trading that most people don't want to hear. Linda Raschke, one of the market wizards, advised, "Understand that learning the markets can take years." I would add: Be prepared to make 0% ROI for the first two years. I mean, no money, period. And that is better than the average trader (Wow)! Use the time to FOCUS on training and developing oneself as a trader [#], as one would do to become a doctor and lawyer. If one happens to make a lot of money the first year, that is great. Even after one becomes good at the art of trading, targeting for 50-100% ROI a year is a great goal and possible. However, I would not count on anything >50% ROI for my living expenses.

On the time frame of trading, day trading does not necessarily mean higher ROI. Moves of significance take time to develop. I find my best trades lasts for days or weeks. Many new traders want to do day trading. There is nothing wrong with day trading, but it requires higher levels of mental skills than swing trading or position trading.

Harrison


# Here I mean work on your inner world, your beliefs, your mental skills, your systems and money management, not about learning how to use TradeStation.

Abhijit Dey wrote:

David Colin wrote:



Appreciate yours & Jimmy's comment so far. But I still isn't convinced that 20%+ stock traders are that good. I realize size makes a difference. I would say my arguments stand for accounts under a million.. But this is the matter for discussion anyways.



Since taking control of Berkshire Hathaway 39 years ago, Warren Buffet has delivered compound annual return of 24%. I think *he's* pretty good, no?
(Source: Forbes magazine)

DF

You bet. But he isn't daytrading his billions. According to this, http://beginnersinvest.about.com/cs/warrenbuffett/a/aawarrenbio_2.htm he made 250% non compounded in 5 years, when he was starting out. I am not too sure about the validity of figures in this web page - but would be pretty safe to assume he made some killer returns while managing mere millions. Hear nowadays he mostly cries that there's nothing left to buy. Now THAT's a problem.

Abhijit