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I have no idea where you're coming from. I just gave you an example
for the bonds. Put $100,000 in the money market, buy one bond
contract. Or buy $100,000 worth of long term treasuries. What's the
difference? The answer is you can be more nimble owning bond futures.
As for having to become a farmer in lieu of investing in soybeans is
akin to becoming a computer consultant instead of buying tech stocks?
What kind of statement is that?
If one's view of the world were that we are beginning a long lasting
p/e contraction, the dollar was going to decline in value and capital
flows would favor commodities, what in the world is wrong with buying
soybean futures, hedging your dollar exposure with currency futures,
or even selling some index futures every now and then? Just because
stocks have offered superior returns over the past 20 years, is
hardly any reason to believe they will continue to do so. Just ask a
Japanese investor.
I always thought the futures market was developed to allow everyone
to hedge their exposure and minimize their risk. I'd much rather own
a few soybean futures in my portfolio than some tech stock. As Norm
said, there will always be soybeans tomorrow. You just never know
about those tech stocks.
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