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Re: Amazing, Incredible OddBall version performance ?



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This is the most ridiculous thing I have read for a long time.


>From: "John simmonds" <full_oddball_disclosure@xxxxxxxxxxx>
>To: omega-list@xxxxxxxxxx
>Subject: Amazing, Incredible OddBall version performance ?
>Date: Wed, 13 Feb 2002 00:24:28 +0000
>
>
>
>To all the Omega-list: Your comments and observations as to how anybody
>could get such a high level of performance out of an OddBall type system 
>are
>appreciated. I'm a pretty straightforward guy, - - - I only seek the truth.
>I have not changed any numbers; all of this is exactly the same as I
>received it. I have changed ISP's since October, but this has no bearing on
>the facts. I include the email headers so there will be no dispute as to 
>the
>origin of these 2 messages.
>
>I appeal to the list members: Can somebody figure this out, I asked Brown
>twice but he mysteriously fails to respond . . . notice in the end of the
>2nd message that he claims to have "better" OddBall systems; I don't know 
>if
>this incredible performance report he sent me is based upon a version he is
>not sharing with the Omega-list - - - in any case, since he fails to 
>respond
>himself I'm forced to take this issue to the Omega-list and ask list 
>members
>for suggestions in determining how a person can get such lofty numbers. I
>would think that other list members would agree that anybody who is 
>offering
>an .ela type trading system to the public (free or otherwise) should be
>always be upfront and if they are furnishing "valid" performance reports on
>a free, publicly disclosed system they should always be willing to furnish
>the .ela and ALL inputs so others can independently verify the numbers - - 
>-
>otherwise, our spirit of cooperation and honesty is lost.
>
>For the record, Omega-list archives show posts by Brown extolling the 
>values
>of not holding back, but instead  contributing without profit incentive,
>improvements in OddBall code for the good of all list members. Several of 
>us
>have always followed this path.
>
>Message I sent over 8 days ago:
>Mark:
>
>I've been trying to come anywhere NEAR the results of the strategy
>performance report on OddBall you emailed me months ago. The 1st line
>identifying your performance report states:
>
>MB_SP07_D SP60 min  05/14/1998 - 06/28/2001
>
>I've used your basic OddBall as well as other traders variations in
>attempting to get the highest performance possible.
>
>Your report (end of this email) shows Return on account of 2103%
>and Total net profit of $816,525
>as well as overall profit factor of 2.17
>
>The "best" I can come up with for the same time period, natural hour bars, 
>0
>comm, 0 slippage, natural hour bars, single contract, etc. is only $426,275
>with a ROA of 724.03%
>As I understand, no other trader working on OddBall type systems can show
>any better either.
>
>
>Your report shows an enormous difference from what I can get from my
>computer.
>
>Would you kindly provide the .ela and ALL inputs that you used to generate
>this amazing performance report so I (and the list members) can duplicate 
>it
>(Hell, I'd be happy to get within at least 90%) . . .
>
>
>*******************************************************************************************************
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>Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2001 18:42:08 -0500
>From: Trader1 <trader1@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
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>Message-ID: <138253170299.20011007184208@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>To: whitehot@xxxxxxxxxx
>Subject: OddBall system code
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>Hello whitehot,
>
>  make sure to use natural hour data and notice that the times are
>  Chicago so you may have to adjust for eastern or whatever other time
>  zone than central time.
>
>--
>Best regards,
>Trader1                          mailto:trader1@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>****************************************************
>=MB_OddBall
>
>
>{start code}
>
>{Data = Either the SPY SAP 500 index tracking stock or the S&P 500
>commodity futures contract. Data2 = Advancing issues of the Nyse.}
>
>if time>830 and time <=1500 then begin
>
>Inputs: RL(7), BZ(3), SZ(1),Factor(3), Length(20);
>
>If RateOfChange(Close Data2, RL) > BZ Then Buy;
>If RateOfChange(Close Data2, RL) < SZ Then Sell;
>
>end;
>
>{end of code}
>
>*********************************************************************************
>*********************************************************************************
>
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>Date: Sun, 21 Oct 2001 10:51:18 -0500
>From: Mark Brown <markbrown@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
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>Reply-To: Mark Brown <markbrown@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
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>Message-ID: <6868073644.20011021105118@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>To: whitehot@xxxxxxxxxx
>Subject: Re: Oddball
>In-Reply-To: <3BD2A394.6737.3F22442@xxxxxxxxx>
>References: <3BD2A394.6737.3F22442@xxxxxxxxx>
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>
>Hello  whitehot,
>
>win> I'm quite impressed with the simplicity and performance of the
>win> oddball S&P system.
>
>i am too.
>
>win> What does your tradestation system report performance summary
>win> show for profit factor and other items ?
>
>
>win> Could you email me a .gif file screen shot ot text file of a
>win> summary ?
>
>though ts is a poor platform for this i have attached it.
>
>win> I'm curious if anybody has ever worked on placing additional
>win> "filters" on the oddball system to obtain even better results ?
>
>of  course.   the  performance can be improved in certain personality
>stages.   however can the longevity be improved upon?  no i think not.
>
>do   i   personally have better?  yes.  not to be arrogant, but i have
>much  better.   the good thing is that you too can work upon improving
>it,  it  can  be improved.  "IF" you are careful to look for longevity
>and  not focus exclusively upon profits.   am i vague? yes i intend to
>be.
>
>win> What ever prompted you to be so generous to reveal this system to
>win> the public ? Or is the strategy "power in numbers"; i.e., the more
>win> traders placing oddball trades in the same direction the more
>win> horsepower you have to influence direction  (that would only seem
>win> to influence scalp trading) ?
>
>i  am  not  so  generous, the publicity does me good in other business
>areas  of  course.    i try and not take too much advantage of that, i
>just  intend  to  give  scamming  vendors something to worry about.  a
>bench  mark, why buy this when i can have this for free.  can what you
>sell  me  work as well as this?  well they may say it does in order to
>sell  it.   but time will tell the truth if it can perform as claimed.
>
>i  intend to release progressively better and better systems one after
>the other.  i have a book underway and some more magazine articles are
>scheduled  as  well as my courses.  i am thinking of opening a trading
>school if i can find some broker associates to cooperate with.
>
>Have a Great Day, Mark
>
>http://www.markbrown.com
>
>_MB_SP07_D  SP60 min   05/14/1998 - 06/28/2001
>
>	Performance Summary:  All Trades
>
>Total net profit	$ 816525.00	Open position P/L	$   4050.00
>Gross profit    	$1513425.00	Gross loss      	$-696900.00
>
>Total # of trades	     631	Percent profitable	      57%
>Number winning trades	     362	Number losing trades	     269
>
>Largest winning trade	$  26000.00	Largest losing trade	$ -11125.00
>Average winning trade	$   4180.73	Average losing trade	$  -2590.71
>Ratio avg win/avg loss	       1.61	Avg trade(win & loss)	$   1294.02
>
>Max consec. winners	      11	Max consec. losers	       6
>Avg # bars in winners	      10	Avg # bars in losers	       7
>
>Max intraday drawdown	$ -38825.00
>Profit factor   	       2.17	Max # contracts held	       1
>Account size required	$  38825.00	Return on account	    2103%
>
>
>	Performance Summary:  Long Trades
>
>Total net profit	$ 398975.00	Open position P/L	$      0.00
>Gross profit    	$ 767275.00	Gross loss      	$-368300.00
>
>Total # of trades	     316	Percent profitable	      59%
>Number winning trades	     188	Number losing trades	     128
>
>Largest winning trade	$  20000.00	Largest losing trade	$ -11125.00
>Average winning trade	$   4081.25	Average losing trade	$  -2877.34
>Ratio avg win/avg loss	       1.42	Avg trade(win & loss)	$   1262.58
>
>Max consec. winners	      14	Max consec. losers	       5
>Avg # bars in winners	      10	Avg # bars in losers	       7
>
>Max intraday drawdown	$ -35025.00
>Profit factor   	       2.08	Max # contracts held	       1
>Account size required	$  35025.00	Return on account	    1139%
>
>
>	Performance Summary:  Short Trades
>
>Total net profit	$ 417550.00	Open position P/L	$   4050.00
>Gross profit    	$ 746150.00	Gross loss      	$-328600.00
>
>Total # of trades	     315	Percent profitable	      55%
>Number winning trades	     174	Number losing trades	     141
>
>Largest winning trade	$  26000.00	Largest losing trade	$  -9375.00
>Average winning trade	$   4288.22	Average losing trade	$  -2330.50
>Ratio avg win/avg loss	       1.84	Avg trade(win & loss)	$   1325.56
>
>Max consec. winners	       9	Max consec. losers	       6
>Avg # bars in winners	      10	Avg # bars in losers	       7
>
>Max intraday drawdown	$ -25175.00
>Profit factor   	       2.27	Max # contracts held	       1
>Account size required	$  25175.00	Return on account	    1659%
>
>