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there
will not be any crash – not this month and not next month either.
this
month will be choppy and next month the market may see a sizeable
decline
to test the november lows but that will be it.
From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Jim Ross
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 2:07 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner
Yup, 2/3 to 3/13 looks good to me.
I’ve seen Puetz work liberalized to say 3 days before the full moon
preceding…… and 6 days after the lunar eclipse
following….. The confluence of EW, McHugh phi dates, McClellan Osci
small move and Armstrong PEI date encourage me to believe that IF it happens,
it happens soon and done quickly. IF Prechter/Hochberg are right (and
they’ve cost me a lot of money before so that’s a big IF in my
book) and this is the w3 of w5 of w1, then the ‘test‘ will be way
down there (2002 lows) and will happen quickly.
How long is the window open. I go
back to last year August 18. The fall crashes began with the August high
and, I argue, the crashes begin but do not necessarily end in the window.
Just my nuance. In this case, if there’s going to be a crash,
I’d say it happens soon and ends soon because I pay serious attention to
Armstrong’s PEI which is supposed to be a “reactionary high”
on about March 19, 2009. Nenner, per today’s CNBC interview, seems
to agree with the March time frame high, that after mid late March there will
be another 25% correction down. Nenner’s CNBC interview today is now
posted on CNBC:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1020388644&play=1
From:
realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf
Of Jim White
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 1:25 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner
As I read this the window is from 2/3 to 3/13 - is
that correct?
----- Original Message -----
Sent:
Tuesday, February 03, 2009 9:45 AM
Subject: RE:
[RT] RE: Charles Nenner
Jim, how long does the Puetz
crash window remain open? I am also looking at the 11th as a low.
-----Original Message-----
From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]On Behalf Of Jim Ross
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 12:08 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner
I always lose track of full moons.
However, we remain in a “Puetz” crash window (crashes never occur
outside a Puetz window, but do not always occur during a Putetz window-see
Peter Eliades work and Chris Carolan’s work). A severe downturn,
however brief, is still possible.
My preferred reading of EW (ala
Hochberg/Prechter), McHugh’s phi dates, and Armstrong’s PEI has a
w2 of w5 of w1 (Hochberg/Prechter’s current count) completing imminently
at current levels or slightly higher, thereafter, with 3 waves down to test Nov
’08 lows and maybe even 2002 lows. To get to Armstrong’s
‘reactionary high’ in March 2009 there would then need to be a
powerful V bottom and rally (see Armstrong’s “It’s Just
Time” dated 10/8/08). Just trying to put pieces together.
If you want to get a feel for how Nenner
synthesizes his forecasts, the following 2007 video is a pretty exhaustive
video on his methods. It’s not a pure methodology. It
includes EW, cycles, Fibs, solar sunspot cycles….. Its apparently
his methodology doesn’t say “This is the day” or “This
is the price.” Rather, we’re very close in TIME.
http://charlesnenner.com/inthenews-2007-07-12embedded.html
From:
realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf
Of Ketayun
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 11:45 AM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner
Wow Jim! I just read through all
the clips.
The week of the 9th is 13 weeks
from the Nov low with the 5th pointing to a CIT (thinking high of the week).
The 9th should be bullish (Full Moon
in Leo) but possibly the low will be another day. Haytham's statistic plays out
often, Friday down= Monday and at least one other day down in the following
week. Down can be LL and up too. Maybe Feb 11th?
[>>] -----Original Message-----
From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]On
Behalf Of Jim Ross
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 11:31 AM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner
Saw the interview. Loved the
comment “I’m never wrong.” I admit, he is
amazing. BUT, I saw him in March 2008 on CNBC when he declared the low
was likely in for the year. OOPS. I’ve spent this morning
since then catching up on the videos that are on the net for Nenner. He
combines EW, cycles, solarspot cycles, Fibs and tons of price observations
going back several hundred years and creates cycles that point to turning
points. EXCEPT for the bad 2008 call, which I can’t find a video
for it (not surprised), he’s pretty accurate in terms of time. And
on this one, I agree with an exception. I think the buy is going to be a
lot lower even though its only days away.
He did say on CNBC this morning, the low
and the buy point is any day now.
From:
realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf
Of Ketayun
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 10:40 AM
To: Realtraders
Subject: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner
Just saw him on CNBC and
researched him too. He is calling for a bottom (within a few days) until Mid
March. He seemed disinclined to point to date or price but apparently is well
able to do that. Anybody got a clue about his forecasts?
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