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RE: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner



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Jim, how long does the Puetz crash window remain open? I am also looking at the 11th as a low.
-----Original Message-----
From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]On Behalf Of Jim Ross
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 12:08 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner

I always lose track of full moons.  However, we remain in a “Puetz” crash window (crashes never occur outside a Puetz window, but do not always occur during a Putetz window-see Peter Eliades work and Chris Carolan’s work).  A severe downturn, however brief, is still possible.

My preferred reading of EW (ala Hochberg/Prechter), McHugh’s phi dates, and Armstrong’s PEI has a w2 of w5 of w1 (Hochberg/Prechter’s current count) completing imminently at current levels or slightly higher, thereafter, with 3 waves down to test Nov ’08 lows and maybe even 2002 lows.  To get to Armstrong’s ‘reactionary high’ in March 2009 there would then need to be a powerful V bottom and rally (see Armstrong’s “It’s Just Time” dated 10/8/08).  Just trying to put pieces together. 

If you want to get a feel for how Nenner synthesizes his forecasts, the following 2007 video is a pretty exhaustive video on his methods.  It’s not a pure methodology.  It includes EW, cycles, Fibs, solar sunspot cycles…..  Its apparently his methodology doesn’t say “This is the day” or “This is the price.”  Rather, we’re very close in TIME.

http://charlesnenner.com/inthenews-2007-07-12embedded.html

 

From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Ketayun
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 11:45 AM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner

 

Wow Jim! I just read through all the clips.

 

The week of the 9th is 13 weeks from the Nov low with the 5th pointing to a CIT (thinking high of the week).

 

The 9th should be bullish (Full Moon in Leo) but possibly the low will be another day. Haytham's statistic plays out often, Friday down= Monday and at least one other day down in the following week. Down can be LL and up too. Maybe Feb 11th?


[>>]  -----Original Message-----
From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]On Behalf Of Jim Ross
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 11:31 AM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner

Saw the interview.  Loved the comment “I’m never wrong.”  I admit, he is amazing.  BUT, I saw him in March 2008 on CNBC when he declared the low was likely in for the year.  OOPS.  I’ve spent this morning since then catching up on the videos that are on the net for Nenner.  He combines EW, cycles, solarspot cycles, Fibs and tons of price observations going back several hundred years and creates cycles that point to turning points.  EXCEPT for the bad 2008 call, which I can’t find a video for it (not surprised), he’s pretty accurate in terms of time.  And on this one, I agree with an exception.  I think the buy is going to be a lot lower even though its only days away. 

 

He did say on CNBC this morning, the low and the buy point is any day now. 

 

From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Ketayun
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 10:40 AM
To: Realtraders
Subject: [RT] RE: Charles Nenner

 

Just saw him on CNBC and researched him too. He is calling for a bottom (within a few days) until Mid March. He seemed disinclined to point to date or price but apparently is well able to do that. Anybody got a clue about his forecasts? 

 

Thanks,

 

Kate

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