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Re: [RT] Recrossed down



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Ron-

Please, in what volume of "The Definitive Guide to Futures 
Trading"?  I see there are several available, at least
a volume I and volume II.  Tks...

Chas
-----



On Sat, 31 Mar 2007 17:46:34 -0400
  "Ron Cernokus" <roncer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> Chas,
> 
> The stats are from Larry's book, "The Definitive Guide 
>to Futures Trading".  The data is from the 80's yet it 
>still seems applicable. 
> 
> Ron
> 
>  ----- Original Message ----- 
>  From: Charles Meyer 
>  To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
>  Sent: Saturday, March 31, 2007 3:43 PM
>  Subject: Re: [RT] Recrossed down
> 
> 
>  Ron-
> 
>  Are those stats publically available; and what is the 
>  source? The Moore Research Center and Linda Bradford 
>  Raschke
>  publised historical stats; but I would have to guess 
>that 
>  the research focus may have been centered on different
>  data analyses as to what conclusions they were trying 
>to 
>  draw. Tks.
> 
>  Chas
>  =====
> 
>  n Sat, 31 Mar 2007 15:59:53 -0400
>  "Ron Cernokus" <roncer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>  >Friday was an outside day that closed down. According 
>to 
>  >Larry William's stats, that gives a 60.6% chance for a 
>  >higher close on Monday.
>  > 
>  > 
>  > ----- Original Message ----- 
>  > From: Pete Lieber 
>  > To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
>  > Sent: Saturday, March 31, 2007 2:48 PM
>  > Subject: Re: [RT] Recrossed down
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > Good question. Friday was an outside day. If we make 
>  >a higher high or a lower low then we stand a good 
>chance 
>  >of continuing on in that direction (see attached 
>chart).
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>----------------------------------------------------------
>  > From: Ben <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>  > Reply-To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>  > To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>  > Subject: Re: [RT] Recrossed down
>  > Date: Sat, 31 Mar 2007 01:49:54 -0500
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > we most likely have a reliefe rally for the tention 
>  >in Iran
>  > question is
>  > is it a one day affair or not?
>  > ----- Original Message ----- 
>  > From: Pete Lieber 
>  > To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
>  > Sent: Saturday, March 31, 2007 12:28 PM
>  > Subject: RE: [RT] Recrossed down
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > The closest way that I track the small caps is by 
>  >following the OBV on the NASDAQ. The attached chart 
>  >tends to agree with your analysis - NASDAQ volume 
>ended 
>  >strong on Friday indicating a stong day Monday 
>morning.
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>----------------------------------------------------------
>  > From: "Mark Simms" <marksimms@xxxxxxxxxxx>
>  > Reply-To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>  > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>  > Subject: RE: [RT] Recrossed down
>  > Date: Sat, 31 Mar 2007 11:35:47 -0400
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > Interesting, and although it's not the same as 
>  >"your" volume indicator,
>  > OBV has been very strong on the small caps with 
>  >the proxy used as the etf "IWM".
>  > The small caps took quite a hit in the Yen 
>  >carry-trade event as they are quite interest rate 
>  >sensitive.
>  > Now It appears there are big bets going off that 
>  >rates will be stable and NOT go up much.
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>----------------------------------------------------------
>  > From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
>  >[mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Pete 
>  >Lieber
>  > Sent: Saturday, March 31, 2007 2:12 AM
>  > To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>  > Subject: RE: [RT] Recrossed down
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > Hmmm, I recrossed up - for Thursday I had 
>  >negative divergence in my volume indicator and today I 
>  >ended with positive divergence (see attached chart), 
>so I 
>  >am expecting at least an up half-day Monday. But over 
>  >the past two days the volume indicator has not bounced 
>up 
>  >as well as the market indicating further weakness lies 
>  >ahead.
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > Pete
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>----------------------------------------------------------
>  > 
>  > 
>  > No virus found in this incoming message.
>  > Checked by AVG Free Edition.
>  > Version: 7.5.446 / Virus Database: 268.18.23/740 - 
>  >Release Date: 3/30/2007 1:15 PM
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
>  > 
> 
> 
> 
>   



 
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