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Re: [RT] The Market environment



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Earl,
 
As usual when folks look at the market over a 
reasonable period
of time then I have to get in my 2 
cents.
 
The   Junk0.gif   picture is, 
insofar as SwingMachine is concerned,
still in the same place it was.  The red line 
is from the latest version
of a program which replaces NewGun.
 
If we believe the red line then a top is now or 
near so we might want
to FORCE A PIVOT and see what SwingMachine had to 
say.
Junk10.gif  is exactly that.
 
Clyde
 
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - -Clyde 
Lee   
Chairman/CEO          (Home of 
SwingMachine)SYTECH 
Corporation          email: <A 
href="">clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx  7910 
Westglen, Suite 105       
Office:    (713) 783-9540Houston,  TX  
77063               
Fax:    (713) 783-1092Details 
at:                      
www.theswingmachine.com- - - - 
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<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  EarlA 
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 9:02 
  PM
  Subject: Re: [RT] The Market 
  environment
  
  One of my major guides will be the SP COT this weekend. If the 
  commercials have added significantly to shorts I will be more aggressive than 
  if they continue to muddle along at mid levels.
   
  The setup in weekly old VIX (VXO) is ripe for a very fast and furious 
  decline of major proportions but one must read from all antennae.
   
  Earl
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  >
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    >From: 
    <A title=profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">profitok 
    To: <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 9:54 
    PM
    Subject: Re: [RT] The Market 
    environment
    
    Earl
     
    you should not be greedy on this move 
    down
    all I cold see for now is 50-75 sp 
    points(down)
    then  1125-1150 is possible,,
    that is when you should load up on your  
    July puts
    (down to 975-1000)
    Ben
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    >
      ----- Original Message ----- 
      <DIV 
      >From: 
      EarlA 

      To: <A 
      title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      
      Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 
      12:40 PM
      Subject: Re: [RT] The Market 
      environment
      
      Actually, the last five rallies have held at 127% retracement.
       
      Earl
      <BLOCKQUOTE 
      >
        ----- Original Message ----- 
        <DIV 
        >From: 
        EarlA 
        
        To: <A 
        title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        
        Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 
        10:23 AM
        Subject: Re: [RT] The Market 
        environment
        
        Just completed final third position of March 1150 Leap Puts. I 
        don't expect that there are more than a few points of gas left in this 
        tank ... perhaps a run to long term open targets clustering around 
        1078+- but not much more. Look at last three rallies on daily chart and 
        you will see that each rally was contained at 127% retracement of 
        previous decline.
         
        Earl
        <BLOCKQUOTE 
        >
          ----- Original Message ----- 
          <DIV 
          >From: 
          EarlA 
          
          To: <A 
          title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          ; <A title=canslim@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          href="">canslim@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          
          Sent: Friday, November 14, 2003 
          7:22 AM
          Subject: Re: [RT] The Market 
          environment
          
          I'm still looking for price to hit my long term 
          cluster of targets around 1078 and am working order to complete my put 
          position. Market never does what is expected, but my best guess is 
          that we'll see a sharp spike high during which SP futures inventory 
          will move from weak bears to strong bears. Market should then drop 
          pretty sharply to something in range of 50% retracement 
          March-November.
           
          EarlTo 
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