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Just noticed the S&P cash high on the weekly so far (1173.62) came almost to
the .382 retracement (1176) off of the high (full retracements shown on the
far right of the chart), an interesting number when you also tie the 200day
MA (1176.36) on the daily into approximately the same level.
Not shown but from the wave 4 high to the wave 5 low a .618 retracement is
1174.92.
So there is some confluence in here and an interesting place for the market
to at least pause (albeit maybe only for a moment with the employment report
tomorrow)?
Still think a further move up will "really" get any short nervious too?
don ewers
----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, December 06, 2001 3:31 PM
Subject: Re: WAVES - was RE: [RT] Jon88keys!
> I forgot to mention the "PTI on the first daily chart of 3 (red number)".
>
> It has had a reading below the "required 34" since 10-3-01, (when it went
> from 37 to 28) which has said that the probability any evential wave 5
down
> (should it occur) would be a double bottom at best or at worst a failed
5th
> wave (meaning it just keeps going up), which is in fact what has occured.
So
> very early warning was given there plus the count on the wwekly chart
being
> 5 wave complete.
>
> The point I try to make to those that get too caught up in count changes
is
> who cares if you are on the right side of the market? Example, the charts
> sent before has the first one in a wave 4 rally up, which turn out to be a
> 1-2-3 rally up, either way you would be long. Once the wave 3 expends
> itself and a wave 4 correction starts on the second chart, does it matter
> wether it is a wave 4 correction, a wave B, no, you are on the right side
of
> the market?
> don ewers
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Thursday, December 06, 2001 3:03 PM
> Subject: Re: WAVES - was RE: [RT] Jon88keys!
>
>
> > (with charts, sorry)
> >
> > M. Simms
> > You must be psychic, the count changed on the daily S&P cash on 12-4-01
> > (first chart) from a 1-2-3-4 (down) to on 12-5-01 (second chart) to an
> A-B-C
> > (down) and 1-2-3 (up), since as you said the wave 4 retraced too far.
> >
> > Of further interest is the 200 MA, the brown line on the chart?
> >
> > Since I have been using the weekly as my primary "roadmap" which already
> had
> > 5 waves at the lows (third chart) in which many fib targets were met),
> some
> > have been anticipating this change in count on the daily to result and
> are
> > looking at the wave 4 daily to evolve in an large ABC pattern
eventually?
> > Perhaps the new wave 4 daily (or wave B?) could be the pullback many are
> > expecting too?
> > don ewers
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "M. Simms" <prosys@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Thursday, December 06, 2001 2:00 PM
> > Subject: WAVES - was RE: [RT] Jon88keys!
> >
> >
> > > Speaking of WAVES......
> > > does anyone with AGet know if it has "thrown in the towel" on
numbering
> > this
> > > latest move-up as Wave #4 out of 5 down ?
> > > I believe all indications are that #4 was really #5 and that we are in
> #1
> > of
> > > 5 - up.
> > >
> > >
> > > > -----Original Message-----
> > > > From: Ralph Volpe [mailto:rjv@xxxxxxxxxx]
> > > > Sent: Thursday, December 06, 2001 2:11 PM
> > > > To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > > > Subject: Re: [RT] Jon88keys!
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > Jon88, thanks for your response. I agree with you, the market
> > > > moves in waves and
> > > > there's no sure methodology to predict a move; however, the waves
> > > > we speak of
> > > > very often have a bias in intensity one way or another. It is my
> > > > opinion, based
> > > > on an assessment of economic fundamentals and
> > > > reaction/counter-reaction market
> > > > movements, this market is hurting -- and the hurt will be felt
> > > > shortly on the
> > > > downside.
> > > >
> > > > Ralph
> > > >
> > > > jon88keys@xxxxxxx wrote:
> > > >
> > > > > In a message dated 12/6/2001 1:39:36 PM Eastern Standard Time,
> > > > rjv@xxxxxxxxxx
> > > > > writes:
> > > > >
> > > > > << Dorothy, are you still out there? Some time ago I posted
> long-term
> > > > > charts of the NASD and INDU with my analysis that this market
> > > > was in for
> > > > > a nice rise. Well, I think this rise should end by Monday of next
> > week.
> > > > > My question to you, Dorothy, and others, do you share my view on
> the
> > > > > vulnerability of this market or should we succumb to the
> > > > 'talking heads'
> > > > > again with their exuberance for a rebound?
> > > > > >>
> > > > >
> > > > > I'm not Dorothy, but the Dow has been in overbought territory
> > > > for some time
> > > > > now. I would expect at least a correction pretty soon. A
> > > > correction would be
> > > > > healthy, even. But we're just surfers riding the wave and
> > > > moving our stops.
> > > > > I have no problem with the market moving to infinity, either :).
> > > > >
> > > > > But answering your question: sure the market's vulnerable.
> > > > But the market's
> > > > > always vulnerable (hence the word "market" as opposed to "sure
> > thing").
> > > > >
> > > > > Kowobunga dudes (and dudettes),
> > > > >
> > > > > Jonathan
> > > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
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> > > >
> > > >
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> > > >
> > > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
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