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The reason junk rallied is there is the
perception that low is in economy as Norman has suggested. I personally
don't believe it and think that even copper's rally has been
a hook... Junk bonds
rally when the belief is that the economy is on the mend.. If someone
stands back and looks at the strong retail number it would be obvious that
enticing people to buy on big sales not only does not bring much to bottom line
for retailers but also takes away from future months or qtrs.... I hear many
retailers are not ordering a lot of inventory to sit on the shelf as it did not
move last Christmas season as they had hoped.. and the consumer won't pay full
price.... so. . . we'll see
<BLOCKQUOTE
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
<A href="mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>profitok
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Cc: <A href="mailto:panda22@xxxxxxxxx";
title=panda22@xxxxxxxxx>panda22@xxxxxxxxx
Sent: Saturday, November 17, 2001 12:51
PM
Subject: [RT]
seasonality/thanksgiving
Hello
copy of a market letter I received
11/16/01
Friday was strong.All of the AD lines were
strong.New highs and new lows both decreased on all markets.The
secondaries were stronger than the blue chips.However, growth was weaker
than value at all levels.
Gold, energy and Utilities are the weak sectors, while the
the techs of 1999 are strong.
Like the past week, bonds took a dramatic tumble in early
October of 1930, they continued to fall until mid December and than
rallied to near their old highs. After that they moreor less
followed stocks until they both bottomed in mid 1932. Bonds were having
a blow offrally and were overdue for a correction so I could be reading a
little more into this corretionthan is appropriate. Also
interesting, while nearly all bonds got hit last week, Junk
rallied.
The first rally after the crash of 1929 lasted about 6
months, after that the rallies became shorter and less sharp. That
does not quite follow the current pattern as this rally appears to have
some legs left and is likely to last for another month or so, but the dramatic
break in bonds last week is reminisent of the parallels in the 30's when
stocks and bonds were out of synch for several years and in the end took a
final tumble together.
In the past 2 days all but one of the broad based signals
has gone from long to short.However, many of these signals were recently
re-optimized to just the past years dataso they are very
conservative. Most of the indicators turned downward from, in many
cases,record highs at the end of last week. The extreme strength in
the indicators suggests thisrally has some time left because you would
expect some divergences from record high readingsbefore prices made a
final top. However, my problem with the Sept 21 bottom has been
thatthere were no divergences from what was in many cases record low
readings on the indicators.
It is encouraging to see the only signal remaining long is
the small cap signal. A pattern that you often see coming off
oversold bottoms is the issues that led the way down initiallylead the way
up. Then leadership changes to the issues that were strongest before the
tumbleand those were the small caps.
Seasonality is most profitably applied to the small caps and
we have one of the seasonallybest periods coming next week. The day
before and the day after Thanksgiving are two of thestrongest days of the
year. There is a little conflict this year in that the day
afterThanksgiving is normally one of the strongest of the year while the
Friday after witchingis one of the weakest and Friday is
both.
You can see in the tables below that Monday and Tuesday of
Thanksgiving week have been two of the worst days while Wednesday and
Friday have been two of the best.The last week of November has also been
strong as well as the first 3 days of December.
I will be taking long positions in all accounts as of
Tuesday's close and unless thereis some unforseen deterioration, hold them
until Wednesday December 5.
3 days before Thanksgiving and 1 day after. Day1 = the day
afterS&P-500
Composite
The number following the % change represents the day of the week 1=Monday,
5=Friday etc.The number following the year is the year of the presidential
cycle.
Day4
Day3
Day2
Day1
Totals 1988-4 -0.09%
1 0.37% 2 0.67% 3 -0.66%
5 0.29% 1989-1
-0.66% 1 0.07% 2 0.68% 3
0.60% 5
0.69% 1990-2 0.70% 1
-1.26% 2 0.23% 3 -0.29% 5
-0.63% 1991-3 -0.21%
1 0.70% 2 -0.37% 3 -0.35%
5 -0.24% 1992-4
-0.36% 1 0.58% 2 0.37% 3
0.23% 5
0.82% 1993-1 -0.75% 1
0.41% 2 0.29% 3 0.15%
5 0.10% 1994-2
-0.69% 1 -1.79% 2 -0.04% 3 0.52%
5 -1.99% 1995-3
-0.54% 1 0.57% 2 -0.31% 3
0.26% 5
-0.01% 1996-4 1.11% 1
-0.14% 2 -0.13% 3 0.27%
5 1.11% 1997-1
-1.70% 1 0.44% 2 0.09% 3
0.40% 5
-0.79% 1998-2 2.12% 1
-0.44% 2 0.33% 3 0.46%
5 2.47% 1999-3
-0.07% 1 -1.15% 2 0.89% 3 -0.03%
5 -0.37% 2000-4
-1.84% 1 0.35% 2 -1.85% 3
1.47% 5 -1.87%
Averages -0.23%
-0.10% 0.07%
0.23% -0.03%%
Winners
23%
62%
62% 69%
NASDAQ
Composite
Day4
Day3
Day2
Day1
Totals 1988-4 -0.68%
1 0.08% 2 0.66% 3 -0.38%
5 -0.32% 1989-1
-0.22% 1 -0.35% 2 0.22% 3
0.33% 5
-0.02% 1990-2 0.54% 1
-1.26% 2 0.14% 3 0.08% 5
-0.51% 1991-3 -0.68% 1
-0.12% 2 0.11% 3 0.21% 5
-0.48% 1992-4 -0.59%
1 1.11% 2 0.37% 3 0.18%
5 1.08% 1993-1
-1.79% 1 1.18% 2 0.85% 3
0.22% 5
0.47% 1994-2 -0.91% 1
-2.18% 2 -0.61% 3 0.79% 5
-2.91% 1995-3 -1.49% 1
-0.44% 2 -0.37% 3 0.87% 5
-1.42% 1996-4 0.47%
1 0.06% 2 0.48% 3 0.41%
5 1.43% 1997-1
-2.08% 1 0.13% 2 0.34% 3
0.38% 5
-1.23% 1998-2 2.55% 1
-0.58% 2 0.98% 3 1.57%
5
4.52% 1999-3 0.69% 1
-1.46% 2 2.32% 3 0.80%
5 2.35% 2000-4
-5.01% 1 -0.15% 2 -4.04% 3 5.41%
5 -3.79%
Averages -0.71%
-0.31% 0.11%
0.84% -0.06%%
Winners
31%
38%
77% 92%
Russell
2000
Day4
Day3
Day2
Day1
Totals 1988-4 -0.65% 1
-0.06% 2 0.39% 3 -0.19% 5
-0.51% 1989-1 -0.58% 1
-0.40% 2 0.34% 3 0.43% 5
-0.21% 1990-2 0.38% 1
-0.47% 2 -0.08% 3 0.18%
5 0.00% 1991-3
-0.70% 1 -0.31% 2 -0.03% 3 0.48%
5 -0.56% 1992-4
-0.02% 1 0.51% 2 0.53% 3
0.27% 5
1.30% 1993-1 -1.65% 1
0.51% 2 0.69% 3 0.13% 5
-0.32% 1994-2 -0.72% 1
-1.84% 2 -0.68% 3 0.59% 5
-2.65% 1995-3 -0.53% 1
-0.36% 2 0.04% 3 0.34% 5
-0.52% 1996-4 0.68% 1
-0.26% 2 0.37% 3 0.41%
5 1.19% 1997-1
-1.66% 1 -0.22% 2 0.29% 3
0.41% 5
-1.17% 1998-2 0.98% 1
-0.39% 2 0.69% 3 0.69%
5 1.97% 1999-3
-0.11% 1 -1.37% 2 0.33% 3
0.66% 5 -0.49% 2000-4
-2.56% 1 -0.73% 2 -1.90% 3 3.05%
5 -2.15%
Averages -0.55%
-0.41% 0.07%
0.57% -0.32%%
Winners
23%
15%
69% 92%
Last 5 days of November and first 5 days of
December.S&P-500 CompositeThe number following the daily return
represents the day of the week;1 = Monday, 2 = Tuesday etc.
Day5 Day4
Day3 Day2
Day1 Day1
Day2 Day3
Day4 Day5
Totals 1989-1 0.60% 5
0.48% 1 0.05% 2 -0.63% 3 0.70% 4
1.34% 5 0.22% 1 -0.52% 2 -0.29% 3 -0.28%
4
1.67% 1990-2 0.45% 1
0.50% 2 -0.05% 3 -0.48% 4 1.83% 5 0.58%
1 0.69% 2 1.09% 3 -0.26% 4 -0.40%
5 3.97% 1991-3
-1.03% 5 -0.21% 1 0.70% 2 -0.37% 3 -0.35%
5 1.65% 1 -0.12% 2 -0.23% 3 -0.71% 4
0.45% 5 -0.23% 1992-4
-0.36% 1 0.58% 2 0.37% 3 0.23%
5 0.28% 1 -0.13% 2 -0.21% 3 0.00%
4 0.50% 5 0.75% 1
2.02% 1993-1 0.41% 2
0.29% 3 0.15% 5 -0.25% 1 -0.02% 2 0.02%
3 0.26% 4 0.38% 5 0.33% 1
0.07% 2
1.65% 1994-2 -0.04% 3 0.52%
5 0.41% 1 0.22% 2 -0.33% 3 -1.05%
4 0.98% 5 0.00% 1 -0.05% 2 -0.41%
3
0.27% 1995-3 0.26% 5
0.23% 1 0.85% 2 0.20% 3 -0.37% 4
0.27% 5 1.10% 1 0.65% 2 0.40% 3
-0.65% 4
2.94% 1996-4 0.81% 5
1.11% 1 -0.14% 2 -0.13% 3 0.27% 5 -0.06% 1
-1.09% 2 -0.42% 3 -0.10% 4 -0.64% 5
-0.41% 1997-1 0.43% 5
-1.70% 1 0.44% 2 0.09% 3 0.40%
5 2.03% 1 -0.32% 2 0.52% 3 -0.38%
4 1.10% 5
2.60% 1998-2 2.12% 1 -0.44%
2 0.33% 3 0.46% 5 -2.41% 1 1.00%
2 -0.34% 3 -1.80% 4 2.31% 5 0.93%
1 2.16% 1999-3
-1.15% 2 0.89% 3 -0.03% 5 -0.62% 1 -1.34%
2 0.63% 3 0.81% 4 1.72% 5 -0.70%
1 -0.99% 2
-0.78% 2000-4 1.47% 5
0.54% 1 -0.95% 2 0.44% 3 -2.01% 4 0.02%
5 0.74% 1 3.89% 2 -1.82% 3 -0.59%
4 1.72%
Averages 0.33%
0.23% 0.18% -0.07%
-0.28% 0.52%
0.23% 0.44% -0.06%
-0.05% 1.47%%
Winners
67%
75%
67%
50%
42%
75%
58%
67%
33% 42%
NASDAQ
Composite
Day5 Day4
Day3 Day2
Day1 Day1
Day2 Day3
Day4 Day5
Totals 1989-1 0.33% 5
-0.09% 1 0.11% 2 -0.20% 3 0.07% 4
0.22% 5 0.26% 1 0.07% 2 -0.41% 3 -0.09%
4 0.27% 1990-2
-0.05% 1 1.49% 2 0.29% 3 0.19%
4 0.93% 5 0.63% 1 0.77% 2
1.86% 3 0.38% 4 -0.20% 5
6.29% 1991-3 -0.73% 5 -0.68%
1 -0.12% 2 0.11% 3 0.21% 5 1.34%
1 0.46% 2 0.36% 3 -0.23% 4 0.43%
5 1.14% 1992-4
-0.59% 1 1.11% 2 0.37% 3 0.18%
5 0.50% 1 0.19% 2 -0.16% 3 0.53%
4 0.80% 5 0.75% 1
3.67% 1993-1 1.18% 2
0.85% 3 0.22% 5 -0.44% 1 0.38% 2
1.25% 3 0.38% 4 0.72% 5 -0.15% 1 -0.23%
2 4.17% 1994-2
-0.61% 3 0.79% 5 0.43% 1 0.77% 2
-0.15% 3 -1.22% 4 0.52% 5 0.09% 1 -0.60%
2 -0.94% 3
-0.92% 1995-3 0.87% 5
-0.08% 1 2.01% 2 0.72% 3 0.15% 4
-0.37% 5 1.37% 1 -0.36% 2 -0.39% 3 -0.81%
4
3.12% 1996-4 1.29% 5
0.47% 1 0.06% 2 0.48% 3 0.41%
5 0.56% 1 0.04% 2 -0.26% 3 0.24%
4 -0.96% 5
2.34% 1997-1 -0.36% 5 -2.08%
1 0.13% 2 0.34% 3 0.38% 5
1.88% 1 -1.49% 2 0.55% 3 -0.11% 4 1.27%
5
0.51% 1998-2 2.55% 1 -0.58%
2 0.98% 3 1.57% 5 -3.32% 1 2.78%
2 -0.43% 3 -2.05% 4 2.50% 5 1.87%
1 5.88% 1999-3
-1.46% 2 2.32% 3 0.80% 5 -0.77% 1 -2.49%
2 0.53% 3 2.95% 4 1.97% 5
0.72% 1 1.15% 2
5.72% 2000-4 5.41% 5 -0.82%
1 -5.05% 2 -1.03% 3 -4.03% 4 1.82% 5
-1.12% 1 10.48% 2 -3.23% 3 -1.57% 4
0.87%
Averages 0.65%
0.22% 0.02%
0.16% -0.58%
0.80% 0.30%
1.16% -0.04%
0.06% 2.75%%
Winners
50%
50%
83%
67%
67%
83%
67%
75%
42% 42%
Russell
2000
Day5 Day4
Day3 Day2
Day1 Day1
Day2 Day3
Day4 Day5
Totals 1989-1 0.43% 5
0.18% 1 0.17% 2 -0.25% 3 0.07% 4
0.20% 5 0.05% 1 -0.09% 2 0.26% 3 -0.17%
4 0.84% 1990-2
-0.22% 1 1.01% 2 0.60% 3 0.09%
4 1.12% 5 0.50% 1 0.45% 2
1.53% 3 0.33% 4 -0.14% 5
5.27% 1991-3 -0.77% 5 -0.70%
1 -0.31% 2 -0.03% 3 0.48% 5 0.16%
1 0.42% 2 0.24% 3 -0.33% 4 0.18%
5 -0.66% 1992-4
-0.02% 1 0.51% 2 0.53% 3 0.27%
5 0.62% 1 0.00% 2 0.19% 3
0.27% 4 0.00% 5 1.23% 1
3.59% 1993-1 0.51% 2
0.69% 3 0.13% 5 0.00% 1 0.11%
2 0.88% 3 0.12% 4 0.38% 5
0.05% 1 0.02% 2
2.88% 1994-2 -0.68% 3 0.59%
5 0.27% 1 0.41% 2 0.23% 3 -0.91%
4 0.32% 5 0.05% 1 -0.38% 2 -0.76%
3 -0.85% 1995-3
0.34% 5 0.32% 1 0.46% 2 0.69%
3 0.61% 4 0.38% 5 0.89% 1
0.19% 2 -0.14% 3 -0.55% 4
3.19% 1996-4 0.79% 5
0.68% 1 -0.26% 2 0.37% 3 0.41% 5
0.35% 1 0.70% 2 0.08% 3 0.27% 4
-0.99% 5
2.38% 1997-1 -0.15% 5 -1.66%
1 -0.22% 2 0.29% 3 0.41% 5 0.99%
1 -0.39% 2 0.31% 3 0.25% 4 0.72%
5
0.56% 1998-2 0.98% 1 -0.39%
2 0.69% 3 0.69% 5 -1.08% 1 0.25%
2 -0.31% 3 -0.63% 4 0.85% 5 0.70%
1 1.75% 1999-3
-1.37% 2 0.33% 3 0.66% 5 -0.43% 1 -0.63%
2 -0.09% 3 1.49% 4 0.90% 5 0.25%
1 -0.01% 2
1.09% 2000-4 3.05% 5 -0.04%
1 -2.69% 2 -0.96% 3 -1.90% 4 2.44% 5
-1.41% 1 4.61% 2 -1.62% 3 -0.53%
4 0.96%
Averages 0.24%
0.13% 0.00%
0.09% 0.04%
0.43% 0.21%
0.65% -0.02%
-0.02% 1.75%%
Winners
50%
67%
67%
58%
75%
75%
75%
83%
64% 42%
Good luck
Sector performance as measured by various sector
instruments.Measured and ranked over the past 5, 10 20 & 50 trading
days.Momentum is combination of Stochastics and RSI added togetherwith
a min of -100 and max of +100. The parameters are 13 day EMA of a21
day Stochastic added to a 14 day RSI. ROC is the Rate Of Change over
thepast 6 trading days. Positive numbers are good negative numbers
are bad.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk
%chg Rnk %chg M| ROC INV WW
Comm 1 8.02%
1 15.06% 5 16.87% 30 -0.98%
69| 26Paper & Forrest 2
6.76% 20 7.58% 23 9.78% 52
-7.63% 60| 33Rydex Telecom
3 5.72% 16 8.48% 32
7.09% 5 5.89% 45| 37INV
Leisure 4
5.69% 10 9.80% 13 12.42% 37
-2.78% 75|
18Telecomm
5 5.66% 15 8.54% 41
4.74% 18 0.89% 22| 36Cons Svcs
Spydr 6 5.59% 17
8.18% 18 10.95% 47 -5.20% 65| 29TRP
Sci & Tech 7 5.46%
2 12.85% 7 15.93% 6
4.99% 69|
24Leisure
8 5.40% 5 10.70% 15
11.47% 38 -2.79% 67|
28Transportation 9 5.31%
13 9.15% 11 14.13% 50 -5.67%
71| 19Rydex Electron 10
5.30% 9 10.40% 1 23.03% 27
-0.59% 70| 16INV Technology
11 5.12% 3 11.70% 3
18.51% 7 4.35% 74|
23Computers
12 5.00% 19 7.92% 10 14.22%
23 0.16% 68| 17Rydex
Tech 13
4.95% 4 11.63% 4 17.50%
2 7.06% 81|
21Electronics 14
4.77% 8 10.48% 2 22.24%
17 0.91% 72| 15Develop
Comm 15 4.62%
14 8.71% 28 7.98% 19
0.72% 55|
34Biotech
16 4.51% 35 4.70% 30
7.51% 9 3.77% 50|
3Automotive 17
4.44% 22 7.09% 19 10.78% 15
1.69% 80|
16Technology
18 4.25% 6 10.70% 6
16.82% 3 6.38% 76|
17Environmental 19 4.20%
18 8.07% 31 7.10% 44 -4.26%
46| 29Cyc/Transp Spydr 20 4.07%
21 7.40% 14 11.64% 14 1.82%
64| 17Multimedia
21 3.98% 12 9.50% 24
9.72% 42 -3.98% 62|
29Chemicals
22 3.95% 23 7.08% 12 12.99%
8 4.03% 80| 13Tech
Spydr 23
3.91% 7 10.53% 8 15.17%
4 6.21% 74| 14Basic Ind
Spydr 24 3.90% 25 6.84%
17 10.96% 24 -0.23% 67|
13Software
25 3.86% 11 9.57% 9
14.51% 1 7.50% 82| 19Ind
Materials 26 3.81%
30 5.73% 21 10.31% 26 -0.51%
79|
18Utilities
27 3.47% 32 5.35% 51 -0.49%
53 -7.67% -9| 42Air
Transport 28 3.35%
28 6.27% 20 10.68% 61 -15.07%
53| 4Rydex Retail
29 3.32% 26 6.76% 35
6.43% 12 1.99% 54| 20Rydex
Biotech 30 3.27%
42 3.10% 36 6.08% 13
1.95% 36| -8Const & Housing
31 3.22% 31 5.66% 29
7.82% 34 -2.07% 55| 14Industrial Spydr
32 3.10% 27 6.61% 25
9.37% 46 -4.38% 58| 18Consumer
Prod 33 2.82% 39
4.25% 39 5.17% 35 -2.25% 61|
22Retail
34 2.62% 33 5.22% 42
3.81% 51 -6.84% 50| 21Ind
Equipment 35 2.50%
34 5.18% 16 10.98% 39 -2.91%
67| 12Rydex Basic Mat 36 2.49%
37 4.52% 26 8.19% 36 -2.76%
61| 8Medical Delivery 37 2.40%
53 -1.02% 58 -4.30% 57 -9.08% -48|
-4INV Health
38 2.23% 46 0.94% 49
0.02% 22 0.30% 3|
-12Brokerage
39 1.93% 24 6.95% 22 10.02%
10 2.22% 62|
1Insurance
40 1.59% 51 0.06% 45
1.88% 29 -0.89% 8| -12Health
Care 41 1.30%
49 0.45% 53 -1.89% 28 -0.72% -27|
-10Cons Staples Spydr 42 1.14% 45
0.94% 48 0.35% 11 2.07% 20|
10Rydex Health 43
1.06% 50 0.35% 52 -0.86% 16
0.97% -13| -3INV Utilities
44 1.02% 29 6.23% 46
1.53% 49 -5.39% 28| 27Food &
Ag 45
0.98% 48 0.53% 44 1.93% 25
-0.44% 50| 16Financial Spydr 46
0.89% 38 4.38% 33 6.75% 31
-1.22% 56| 9Am
Gold
47 0.87% 54 -1.76% 43 2.95%
20 0.65% 23| 5INV Finan
Serv 48 0.75% 40
4.19% 34 6.44% 32 -1.75% 50|
8Financial Serv 49 0.66%
41 3.61% 37 6.01% 33 -1.94%
51| 1Home Finance
50 0.06% 43 3.02% 38
5.41% 41 -3.56% 29| 5Regional
Banks 51 -0.19% 36 4.59%
27 8.15% 40 -3.28% 51| 11Utilities
Spydr 52 -0.59% 44 1.46%
55 -3.56% 45 -4.37% -19|
18Defense/Aero 53 -0.95%
52 -0.92% 47 0.46% 21 0.40%
-1| -29Rydex Banking 54 -4.02%
47 0.92% 40 4.94% 55 -8.60%
13| -22Rydex
PM 55
-5.52% 60 -7.77% 54 -3.38% 48 -5.24% -20|
-19Natural Gas 56
-6.27% 55 -3.48% 61 -7.56% 59 -11.08% -39|
-19Energy Spydr 57 -7.50%
57 -4.64% 60 -6.12% 60 -11.94% -32| -25INV
Energy 58 -7.77%
56 -3.72% 57 -4.01% 56 -9.05% -10|
-27Energy
59 -8.98% 58 -5.96% 59 -6.04% 58 -11.02%
-31| -31Energy Service 60 -12.51% 59
-6.66% 50 -0.29% 43 -4.22% 0| -39Rydex
Engy Svcs 61 -12.76% 61 -7.98% 56
-3.76% 54 -8.41% -12| -36
Selected low load and no load growth funds ranked over the past 5,
10, 20 & 50 trading days.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk
%chg Rnk %chg M| ROC Pro Ultra
OTC 1 8.89%
1 22.59% 1 35.67% 1
9.62% 75| 23Crabbe Huson Spec 2
7.22% 18 6.76% 11 10.93% 82
-4.97% 51| 5Legg Mason Spec
3 6.54% 6 12.64% 8
15.14% 65 -2.57% 65| 21Firsthand Tech Val
4 6.31% 7 12.48% 5
18.77% 10 4.20% 79| 22INVESCO
Grth 5 6.25%
3 15.25% 4 21.43% 2
8.80% 91| 31Firsthand Tech Ino 6 5.87%
10 10.19% 6 17.65% 24 1.88%
72| 12Legg Mason Val 7
5.26% 11 9.24% 21 8.55% 77
-4.48% 48| 29VanWag Em Grth
8 4.69% 2 19.20% 2
21.55% 45 -0.76% 71| 9Firsthand Tech Ldr
9 4.65% 5 12.68% 3
21.49% 22 1.97% 79| 20Gabelli
Growth 10 4.58% 9
10.52% 9 13.98% 9 4.24%
72| 15Rydex
OTC 11
4.42% 8 10.88% 7 17.32%
3 7.14% 78| 23Firsthand
Med 12 4.31% 22
6.43% 15 9.91% 7 4.77%
59|
6Yacktman
13 3.88% 25 6.09% 30
7.55% 25 1.48% 81| 16Oak
Value 14
3.87% 23 6.22% 44 6.02% 79
-4.59% 52| 20SIT
Growth 15
3.86% 12 7.81% 14 10.19% 31
0.58% 64| 18PBH Emer Grth
16 3.73% 31 5.47% 27
7.82% 68 -3.22% 55| 12Berger
100 17 3.69%
13 7.80% 20 8.67% 18
2.52% 73| 23Pro Ultra Bull
18 3.52% 4 15.15% 33
6.76% 93 -8.69% 48| 22Wasatch
Micro 19 3.47% 63
3.65% 16 9.76% 4 7.00%
72| 2TRowe Pr New Hrzn 20 3.35%
29 5.65% 19 8.77% 66 -3.05%
65| 13Fid Grth Co
21 3.26% 21 6.64% 12 10.59%
42 -0.32% 68| 15Ariel Appreciation 22
3.22% 14 7.33% 26 8.07% 53
-1.15% 68| 14INVESCO Emer Opps 23
3.20% 43 4.73% 29 7.73% 72
-3.75% 56| 7Hartland value
24 3.15% 44 4.73% 34
6.73% 21 2.24% 81| 18Baron
Asset 25 2.99%
28 5.67% 46 5.89% 80 -4.61%
56|
16Janus
26 2.95% 16 6.83% 17
9.76% 61 -2.24% 67| 23Robertson St
Em 27 2.93% 37 4.93%
36 6.66% 76 -4.20% 49| 3Nicholas
II 28 2.92%
47 4.70% 69 4.65% 29
0.99% 55| 19Founders Discovery 29 2.90%
76 2.85% 59 5.16% 71 -3.66%
48| 4PBHG Sel Eq
30 2.89% 17 6.79% 28
7.78% 46 -0.86% 70| 27Janus Enterprise
31 2.85% 61 3.75% 75
3.75% 90 -7.26% 35| 9Columbia Sm
Cap 32 2.78% 70 3.20%
64 4.91% 83 -5.27% 51| 10Cohen Srs
Reit 33 2.70% 68
3.37% 78 3.42% 75 -4.06% 42|
32Founders Growth 34 2.65%
20 6.64% 22 8.41% 6
4.82% 76|
27Nicholas
35 2.63% 36 4.94% 71
4.44% 41 -0.23% 55| 20Rainier
Sm/Mid 36 2.57% 58
4.06% 51 5.64% 58 -1.87% 60|
17Safeco Grth 37
2.57% 60 3.84% 32 7.15% 73
-3.76% 63| 10TRowe Pr Growth 38
2.57% 38 4.91% 37 6.63%
12 3.72% 72| 18Fid Cap Appreciati 39
2.54% 34 5.15% 41 6.33% 67
-3.13% 56| 16SteinRoe Cap Opps 40
2.49% 52 4.49% 54 5.44% 78
-4.49% 50| 1420th Cent Grth
41 2.42% 27 5.98% 23
8.39% 14 3.56% 74|
16Oakmark
42 2.32% 40 4.88% 65
4.88% 70 -3.63% 56| 23Fid Div
Grth 43 2.27%
30 5.64% 49 5.68% 38
0.25% 56| 18Fid Emer Grth
44 2.26% 19 6.68% 13 10.23%
40 -0.16% 57| 5Janus
Mercury 45 2.26%
39 4.89% 72 4.30% 62 -2.39%
48| 25Rydex Nova
46 2.25% 15 6.99% 18
8.97% 37 0.36% 62| 16Loomis Sayles Grth
47 2.14% 49 4.61% 66
4.84% 19 2.36% 63| 20Berger
101 48 2.14%
24 6.19% 40 6.50% 17
2.52% 73|
32Clipper
49 2.14% 65 3.56% 68
4.68% 15 3.23% 58| 13Drey Ag
Grth 50 2.12%
67 3.54% 61 5.01% 87 -6.08%
53| 12Loomis Sayles Sm C 51 2.12% 71
3.14% 56 5.35% 63 -2.56% 66|
15Texas Cap Val 52 2.11%
64 3.59% 50 5.66% 85 -5.52%
48| 7Fid
Value 53
2.10% 51 4.53% 47 5.78% 69
-3.30% 68| 20Robertson St Micro 54 2.07%
90 -0.96% 86 0.34% 5
5.61% 43| 14Babson Ent II
55 2.05% 75 2.88% 77
3.60% 55 -1.32% 48| 12Robertson St
Va 56 2.03% 45 4.73%
55 5.42% 39 0.05% 52|
10Berwyn
57 1.98% 78 2.66% 60
5.14% 52 -0.99% 50| -1Founders Blue Chip
58 1.98% 32 5.45% 35
6.67% 11 3.80% 86| 3320th Cent Heritage
59 1.97% 85 0.78% 87
0.10% 94 -10.25% 1|
2Dreyfus
60 1.96% 48 4.67% 38
6.59% 20 2.28% 73| 21Janus
20 61
1.96% 26 6.06% 25 8.39%
8 4.41% 67| 13Evergren Val Tim
62 1.94% 33 5.29% 31
7.24% 59 -2.04% 68| 16Founders Special
63 1.91% 66 3.56% 63
4.92% 88 -6.16% 87| 58Neuberger & Brmn M
64 1.89% 35 5.04% 24
8.39% 64 -2.56% 60| 8Fid Low
Price 65 1.86% 77
2.76% 70 4.47% 35 0.47%
61| 8TRP Bl Chp Grth 66
1.86% 42 4.75% 39 6.55%
13 3.61% 70| 16Drey Sm
Val 67 1.82%
50 4.54% 10 12.51% 81 -4.68%
59| -320th Cent Ultra 68 1.78%
55 4.31% 45 5.92% 33
0.56% 71| 19Schwab
1000 69 1.76%
41 4.82% 43 6.08% 32
0.57% 65| 18Drey Grth & Incm 70
1.75% 57 4.19% 42 6.09% 49
-0.95% 69| 23Mutual Shares
71 1.69% 72 3.12% 79
3.07% 86 -5.62% 46| 28Fid
Trend 72
1.63% 56 4.21% 57 5.33% 47
-0.91% 63|
18Fid
73 1.51% 62 3.74% 67
4.74% 57 -1.57% 64| 22Rainier core
Eq 74 1.38% 54 4.46%
53 5.61% 30 0.92% 63|
17Montgomery Grth 75 1.37%
46 4.71% 52 5.62% 28
1.06% 65| 21TRowe Pr Sm Cap 76
1.35% 80 2.31% 82 2.79% 56
-1.41% 56| 19Warburg Pincus GI 77
1.30% 74 2.96% 62 5.00% 60
-2.07% 59| 11PBHG
Growth 78 1.30%
79 2.57% 80 3.01% 84 -5.42%
40|
9Evergren
79 1.23% 59 4.03% 58
5.27% 23 1.89% 74| 2520th Cent
Select 80 1.15% 69 3.21%
73 4.05% 34 0.52% 60| 18Drey
Apprec 81 0.94%
73 2.96% 76 3.63% 16
2.53% 60| 18Fid Equity IncomeI 82 0.90%
53 4.46% 48 5.76% 50 -0.98%
60| 1220th Cent Vista 83 0.85%
89 -0.65% 91 -1.57% 92 -8.02% -27|
-8Babson Value 84
0.76% 81 2.23% 83 2.11% 89
-6.75% 48| 22Strong Discovery 85
0.62% 83 2.03% 74 3.94% 43
-0.56% 56| 0Vantobel Value
86 0.16% 87 -0.16% 88 -0.10%
26 1.37% 1| -19Fid
Puritan 87 -0.06%
84 1.73% 81 2.92% 44 -0.73%
56| 7Robertson St Contr 88 -0.11% 82
2.05% 84 1.61% 96 -11.32% 15|
13Brandywine 89
-0.18% 91 -1.68% 93 -2.42% 97 -11.42% -40|
-21Open Fund
90 -0.19% 88 -0.19% 89 -0.19% 54
-1.16% 50| -50Caldwell Mkt Op 91
-0.42% 92 -2.10% 92 -2.41% 36 0.42%
-76| -14TRowe Pr Cap Appre 92 -0.46% 86
0.73% 85 1.34% 51 -0.98% 46| -17Rydex
Ursa 93 -1.57%
94 -4.57% 96 -5.92% 48 -0.93% -64| -11Pro
Ultra Bear 94 -3.42% 97 -9.17%
97 -12.05% 74 -3.89% -65| -15Longleaf Sm
Cp 95 -4.63% 95 -4.76%
94 -4.38% 98 -14.38% -14| -29TRowe Pr New Era
96 -4.73% 93 -2.62% 90 -1.28% 91
-7.43% -12| -36Prudent Bear 97
-6.12% 98 -10.76% 98 -13.65% 27 1.20% -65|
-7Kaufman
98 -6.26% 96 -5.61% 95 -4.94% 95
-10.82% 2| -30Pro OTC Bear
99 -8.60% 99 -19.57% 99 -29.89% 99 -24.57% -78|
-16
Selected Gold funds ranked over the past 5, 10, 20 & 50 trading
days.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk
%chg Rnk %chg M| ROC Fid Sel Am
Gold 1 0.87% 2
-1.76% 2 2.95% 7 0.65%
23| 5Franklin Gold
2 0.78% 3 -1.96% 5
0.11% 13 -4.55% -14| 3Oppenhmr
Gold 3 0.73%
1 -1.52% 4 1.46% 9
-1.72% 14| 5Vanguard
PM 4 0.60%
4 -2.35% 1 4.13% 1
4.26% 20| 1Scudder
Gold 5 0.30%
5 -4.15% 8 -0.74% 12 -2.34%
-20| 8Lexington Silver 6
0.00% 13 -7.42% 11 -1.40% 4
2.42% -66| -70Gabelli Gold
7 -0.49% 6 -4.35% 3
1.82% 2 2.67% 2| -21Lexington
Gold 8 -1.33% 12 -5.73%
7 -0.67% 8 0.34% -10| -9US World
Gold 9 -1.73% 7
-4.66% 9 -0.97% 6 0.79% -14|
-17Benham Gold 10
-1.96% 11 -5.67% 10 -0.99% 5
1.22% -28| -25US Global Gold 11 -2.21%
10 -5.34% 12 -1.85% 11 -2.21% -61|
-60Invesco Gold 12 -2.99%
8 -5.26% 6 -0.61% 10 -1.82%
43| -7VanEck Gold 13
-3.49% 9 -5.32% 14 -7.78%
3 2.47% -84| -21Rydex
PM 14
-5.52% 14 -7.77% 13 -3.38% 14 -5.24% -20|
-19
Selected International funds ranked over the past 5, 10, 20 & 50
trading days.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk
%chg Rnk %chg M| ROC Scudder Pacific
Op 1 4.61% 2 9.22%
3 12.38% 4 0.74% 82|
13Montgomery Emer Mk 2 4.47% 3
9.07% 4 11.67% 13 -2.70% 81|
20Fid SE Asia
3 4.47% 1 9.36% 1
13.18% 3 2.13% 84| 12Fid
Europe 4
4.46% 5 7.91% 2 12.56%
2 3.46% 68| 0Fid Emerg
Mkts 5 4.20%
4 8.94% 6 11.13% 9
-1.10% 79| 17INVESCO European 6
3.77% 6 7.63% 5 11.57%
19 -3.66% 60| -3Lexington WW Em Mk 7
3.44% 11 4.59% 19 5.77% 36
-11.01% 29| 22Oakmark Intl
8 3.17% 10 4.84% 8
7.14% 31 -7.08% 65| 11Templeton Deve Mkt
9 2.82% 8 4.98% 10
6.88% 26 -5.48% 96| 11Fid Pac
Basin 10 2.28% 13
4.51% 24 4.75% 16 -3.47% 45|
10Fid Worldwide 11 2.22%
18 4.08% 18 5.78% 7
-0.56% 68| 11Janus Worldwide 12
2.14% 9 4.91% 9 7.06%
8 -0.81% 65| 8Templeton
World 13 2.11% 14 4.45%
13 6.67% 5 0.48% 81|
3Vanguard Intl Grth 14 1.99% 16 4.20%
15 6.44% 17 -3.50% 49| -11Fid
Overseas 15 1.73%
15 4.34% 16 6.26% 10 -1.53%
55| 1Scudder Global Sm 16 1.67%
19 3.93% 25 4.61% 21 -4.59%
58| 9Templeton Foreign 17 1.56%
17 4.11% 12 6.67% 18 -3.60%
72| 3TRowe Japan
18 1.55% 34 -0.15% 35 -3.95%
30 -6.68% -26| -5Founders WrldWd
19 1.48% 20 3.73% 20
5.61% 6 -0.34% 61| 0SIT Int
Grth 20 1.28%
23 3.26% 22 5.15% 14 -2.76%
51| -5Strong Intl Stock 21 1.20%
22 3.58% 23 4.86% 23 -4.92%
51| 0Harbor Intl
22 1.02% 24 3.11% 17
5.85% 20 -4.11% 57| -1Fid Diversfied Int
23 0.97% 25 2.84% 26
4.50% 12 -2.54% 61| -6TRowe Intl Stock
24 0.89% 12 4.54% 21
5.22% 15 -2.84% 49| 3Warburg Pincus Int
25 0.88% 26 2.31% 27
3.50% 27 -5.57% 52| 0Scudder
Global 26 0.87% 27
1.95% 30 2.52% 25 -5.23% 30|
4Scudder Latin Am 27 0.82%
7 5.12% 14 6.46% 28
-5.81% 68| 10Vanguard Intl Euro 28 0.79%
21 3.59% 11 6.83% 11 -2.52%
47| -16TRowe Int Discover 29 0.46% 30
1.55% 31 1.97% 29 -6.14% 49|
-2Vanguard Intl Pac 30 0.44% 32
0.73% 33 -0.72% 33 -8.27% -17| -2020th Cent Intl
Eq 31 0.38% 31 1.41% 28
3.00% 22 -4.82% 30| -18Scudder
Intl 32 0.35%
29 1.68% 29 2.64% 34 -8.28%
27| -15Scudder Japan 33
0.28% 35 -0.70% 34 -2.06% 35 -8.34% -14|
-19Loomis Sayles Intl 34 -0.30% 33 0.20%
32 1.84% 24 -5.05% 27| -35Lexington
Russia 35 -4.69% 28 1.83%
7 10.76% 1 3.60% 50|
-26Lexington Global 36 -4.88% 36
-5.98% 36 -7.15% 32 -7.99% -68| -50
Bond fund averages and indices ranked over the past 5, 10, 20 & 50
trading days.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk
%chg Rnk %chg M| ROC Junk
Avg
1 0.78% 1 1.90%
1 2.53% 9 -2.72% 50|
3DJ 20 Bonds 2
0.13% 2 -0.12% 3 0.04%
6 0.42% -3| -32Short
Maturity 3 -0.82% 3
-0.53% 5 0.00% 4 0.69%
11| -35Muni
Avg 4
-1.02% 4 -0.66% 2 0.05%
7 0.36% 19| -23Intl
Avg 5
-1.69% 5 -0.74% 4 0.00%
8 0.17% 8| -35Corp
Avg 6
-1.76% 6 -1.26% 7 -0.39%
3 0.74% 3| -41Long
Matruity 7 -2.41%
7 -1.64% 6 -0.18% 5
0.65% 7| -37Shearson BD Indx 8
-5.13% 8 -3.75% 8 -0.98%
1 2.34% 7| -59Zero
Avg 9
-5.91% 9 -4.75% 9 -1.00%
2 2.02% -8| -66
Recent performance of selected international markets as measured by
WEBS^
5 day 10 day 20 day 50 day 100
day
1yrMalaysia
3.91% 3.20% 1.68%
-8.60% 5.96%
-19.64%Singapore
4.41% 5.88% 3.04% -14.29%
-16.88% -34.55%Hong
Kong 7.14%
11.11% 14.74% -0.43% -12.86%
-22.16%Belgium
-2.55% 0.86% 3.02%
-9.77% -4.00%
-16.77%Austria
1.60% 2.34% -0.67% -15.15%
-11.46%
-5.08%UK
-1.81% 0.69% 4.86%
-3.29% -7.48%
-17.59%Japan
0.48% -1.42% -2.39% -8.57%
-18.91% -34.51%Switzerland
1.75% 5.00% 6.33%
-1.82% -6.14%
-16.00%Italy
-0.19% 2.00% 3.62% -10.97%
-10.42%
-29.54%Canada
5.27% 7.48% 7.48%
-1.15% -8.37%
-26.08%Netherlands
-1.06% 1.95% 7.21%
-9.44% -12.22%
-26.13%Mexico
1.19% 3.41% 3.52% -11.15%
-16.34%
-7.39%France
0.44% 2.02% 4.39%
-7.01% -8.83%
-24.48%Spain
2.61% 7.28% 7.11%
-2.70% -3.23%
-10.69%Sweden
6.94% 12.37% 16.33%
3.81% 1.27%
-31.12%Australia
3.31% 5.17% 8.41%
0.07% -2.78%
0.40%Germany
2.49% 8.27% 10.37% -5.57%
-10.87% -26.15%
Recent performance of the dollar index and selected
currenciesrelative to the US
dollar.^
5 day 10 day 20 day 50 day 100
day 1yrDollar
1.147% 1.641% 1.828% 3.109%
-2.209% 0.692%Euro
-1.096% -2.038% -1.559% -2.803%
3.415% 2.137%Germany -1.094%
-2.037% -1.568% -2.774% 3.408%
2.123%Japan -2.163% -0.973%
-1.453% -3.325% 1.244%
-12.473%France -1.101% -2.035%
-1.534% -2.671% 3.533%
2.276%Swiss -1.049% -1.533%
-0.805% 0.633% 7.324%
6.005%UK -2.079%
-2.320% -0.543% -1.816% 0.784%
-0.272%Australia 1.636% 2.596%
2.535% -1.473% 0.695% -1.212%
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