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Hello
copy of a market letter I received 11/16/01
Friday was strong.All of the AD lines were strong.New
highs and new lows both decreased on all markets.The secondaries were
stronger than the blue chips.However, growth was weaker than value at all
levels.
Gold, energy and Utilities are the weak sectors, while the the
techs of 1999 are strong.
Like the past week, bonds took a dramatic tumble in early
October of 1930, they continued to fall until mid December and than rallied
to near their old highs. After that they moreor less followed stocks
until they both bottomed in mid 1932. Bonds were having a blow
offrally and were overdue for a correction so I could be reading a little
more into this corretionthan is appropriate. Also interesting, while
nearly all bonds got hit last week, Junk rallied.
The first rally after the crash of 1929 lasted about 6 months,
after that the rallies became shorter and less sharp. That does not
quite follow the current pattern as this rally appears to have some legs
left and is likely to last for another month or so, but the dramatic break
in bonds last week is reminisent of the parallels in the 30's when stocks
and bonds were out of synch for several years and in the end took a final
tumble together.
In the past 2 days all but one of the broad based signals has
gone from long to short.However, many of these signals were recently
re-optimized to just the past years dataso they are very conservative.
Most of the indicators turned downward from, in many cases,record highs at
the end of last week. The extreme strength in the indicators suggests
thisrally has some time left because you would expect some divergences from
record high readingsbefore prices made a final top. However, my
problem with the Sept 21 bottom has been thatthere were no divergences from
what was in many cases record low readings on the indicators.
It is encouraging to see the only signal remaining long is the
small cap signal. A pattern that you often see coming off oversold
bottoms is the issues that led the way down initiallylead the way up.
Then leadership changes to the issues that were strongest before the
tumbleand those were the small caps.
Seasonality is most profitably applied to the small caps and
we have one of the seasonallybest periods coming next week. The day
before and the day after Thanksgiving are two of thestrongest days of the
year. There is a little conflict this year in that the day
afterThanksgiving is normally one of the strongest of the year while the
Friday after witchingis one of the weakest and Friday is both.
You can see in the tables below that Monday and Tuesday of
Thanksgiving week have been two of the worst days while Wednesday and Friday
have been two of the best.The last week of November has also been strong as
well as the first 3 days of December.
I will be taking long positions in all accounts as of
Tuesday's close and unless thereis some unforseen deterioration, hold them
until Wednesday December 5.
3 days before Thanksgiving and 1 day after. Day1 = the day
afterS&P-500
Composite
The number following the % change represents the day of the week 1=Monday,
5=Friday etc.The number following the year is the year of the presidential
cycle.
Day4
Day3
Day2
Day1
Totals 1988-4 -0.09% 1
0.37% 2 0.67% 3 -0.66% 5
0.29% 1989-1 -0.66% 1
0.07% 2 0.68% 3 0.60%
5
0.69% 1990-2 0.70% 1
-1.26% 2 0.23% 3 -0.29% 5
-0.63% 1991-3 -0.21% 1
0.70% 2 -0.37% 3 -0.35% 5
-0.24% 1992-4 -0.36% 1
0.58% 2 0.37% 3 0.23%
5 0.82% 1993-1
-0.75% 1 0.41% 2 0.29% 3
0.15% 5
0.10% 1994-2 -0.69% 1 -1.79%
2 -0.04% 3 0.52% 5
-1.99% 1995-3 -0.54% 1
0.57% 2 -0.31% 3 0.26% 5
-0.01% 1996-4 1.11% 1
-0.14% 2 -0.13% 3 0.27% 5
1.11% 1997-1 -1.70% 1
0.44% 2 0.09% 3 0.40% 5
-0.79% 1998-2 2.12% 1
-0.44% 2 0.33% 3 0.46%
5 2.47% 1999-3
-0.07% 1 -1.15% 2 0.89% 3 -0.03%
5 -0.37% 2000-4 -1.84%
1 0.35% 2 -1.85% 3 1.47%
5 -1.87%
Averages -0.23%
-0.10% 0.07%
0.23% -0.03%%
Winners
23%
62%
62% 69%
NASDAQ
Composite
Day4
Day3
Day2
Day1
Totals 1988-4 -0.68% 1
0.08% 2 0.66% 3 -0.38% 5
-0.32% 1989-1 -0.22% 1 -0.35%
2 0.22% 3 0.33% 5
-0.02% 1990-2 0.54% 1
-1.26% 2 0.14% 3 0.08% 5
-0.51% 1991-3 -0.68% 1 -0.12%
2 0.11% 3 0.21% 5
-0.48% 1992-4 -0.59% 1
1.11% 2 0.37% 3 0.18%
5 1.08% 1993-1
-1.79% 1 1.18% 2 0.85% 3
0.22% 5
0.47% 1994-2 -0.91% 1 -2.18%
2 -0.61% 3 0.79% 5
-2.91% 1995-3 -1.49% 1 -0.44%
2 -0.37% 3 0.87% 5
-1.42% 1996-4 0.47%
1 0.06% 2 0.48% 3 0.41%
5 1.43% 1997-1
-2.08% 1 0.13% 2 0.34% 3
0.38% 5
-1.23% 1998-2 2.55% 1
-0.58% 2 0.98% 3 1.57%
5
4.52% 1999-3 0.69% 1
-1.46% 2 2.32% 3 0.80%
5 2.35% 2000-4
-5.01% 1 -0.15% 2 -4.04% 3 5.41%
5 -3.79%
Averages -0.71%
-0.31% 0.11%
0.84% -0.06%%
Winners
31%
38%
77% 92%
Russell
2000
Day4
Day3
Day2
Day1
Totals 1988-4 -0.65% 1 -0.06%
2 0.39% 3 -0.19% 5
-0.51% 1989-1 -0.58% 1 -0.40%
2 0.34% 3 0.43% 5
-0.21% 1990-2 0.38% 1
-0.47% 2 -0.08% 3 0.18% 5
0.00% 1991-3 -0.70% 1 -0.31%
2 -0.03% 3 0.48% 5
-0.56% 1992-4 -0.02% 1
0.51% 2 0.53% 3 0.27%
5 1.30% 1993-1
-1.65% 1 0.51% 2 0.69% 3
0.13% 5 -0.32% 1994-2
-0.72% 1 -1.84% 2 -0.68% 3 0.59%
5 -2.65% 1995-3 -0.53%
1 -0.36% 2 0.04% 3 0.34%
5 -0.52% 1996-4
0.68% 1 -0.26% 2 0.37% 3 0.41%
5 1.19% 1997-1
-1.66% 1 -0.22% 2 0.29% 3 0.41%
5 -1.17% 1998-2
0.98% 1 -0.39% 2 0.69% 3 0.69%
5 1.97% 1999-3
-0.11% 1 -1.37% 2 0.33% 3 0.66%
5 -0.49% 2000-4 -2.56%
1 -0.73% 2 -1.90% 3 3.05%
5 -2.15%
Averages -0.55%
-0.41% 0.07%
0.57% -0.32%%
Winners
23%
15%
69% 92%
Last 5 days of November and first 5 days of
December.S&P-500 CompositeThe number following the daily return
represents the day of the week;1 = Monday, 2 = Tuesday etc.
Day5 Day4
Day3 Day2
Day1 Day1
Day2 Day3
Day4 Day5
Totals 1989-1 0.60% 5
0.48% 1 0.05% 2 -0.63% 3 0.70% 4 1.34%
5 0.22% 1 -0.52% 2 -0.29% 3 -0.28%
4
1.67% 1990-2 0.45% 1
0.50% 2 -0.05% 3 -0.48% 4 1.83% 5 0.58%
1 0.69% 2 1.09% 3 -0.26% 4 -0.40%
5 3.97% 1991-3
-1.03% 5 -0.21% 1 0.70% 2 -0.37% 3 -0.35%
5 1.65% 1 -0.12% 2 -0.23% 3 -0.71% 4
0.45% 5 -0.23% 1992-4
-0.36% 1 0.58% 2 0.37% 3 0.23% 5
0.28% 1 -0.13% 2 -0.21% 3 0.00% 4 0.50%
5 0.75% 1
2.02% 1993-1 0.41% 2
0.29% 3 0.15% 5 -0.25% 1 -0.02% 2 0.02%
3 0.26% 4 0.38% 5 0.33% 1 0.07%
2 1.65% 1994-2
-0.04% 3 0.52% 5 0.41% 1 0.22% 2
-0.33% 3 -1.05% 4 0.98% 5 0.00% 1 -0.05%
2 -0.41% 3
0.27% 1995-3 0.26% 5
0.23% 1 0.85% 2 0.20% 3 -0.37% 4 0.27%
5 1.10% 1 0.65% 2 0.40% 3 -0.65%
4
2.94% 1996-4 0.81% 5
1.11% 1 -0.14% 2 -0.13% 3 0.27% 5 -0.06% 1
-1.09% 2 -0.42% 3 -0.10% 4 -0.64% 5
-0.41% 1997-1 0.43% 5 -1.70%
1 0.44% 2 0.09% 3 0.40% 5 2.03%
1 -0.32% 2 0.52% 3 -0.38% 4 1.10%
5
2.60% 1998-2 2.12% 1 -0.44%
2 0.33% 3 0.46% 5 -2.41% 1 1.00%
2 -0.34% 3 -1.80% 4 2.31% 5 0.93%
1 2.16% 1999-3
-1.15% 2 0.89% 3 -0.03% 5 -0.62% 1 -1.34%
2 0.63% 3 0.81% 4 1.72% 5 -0.70%
1 -0.99% 2
-0.78% 2000-4 1.47% 5
0.54% 1 -0.95% 2 0.44% 3 -2.01% 4 0.02%
5 0.74% 1 3.89% 2 -1.82% 3 -0.59%
4 1.72%
Averages 0.33%
0.23% 0.18% -0.07%
-0.28% 0.52%
0.23% 0.44% -0.06%
-0.05% 1.47%%
Winners
67% 75%
67% 50%
42% 75%
58% 67%
33% 42%
NASDAQ
Composite
Day5 Day4
Day3 Day2
Day1 Day1
Day2 Day3
Day4 Day5
Totals 1989-1 0.33% 5 -0.09%
1 0.11% 2 -0.20% 3 0.07% 4 0.22%
5 0.26% 1 0.07% 2 -0.41% 3 -0.09%
4 0.27% 1990-2
-0.05% 1 1.49% 2 0.29% 3 0.19% 4
0.93% 5 0.63% 1 0.77% 2 1.86% 3
0.38% 4 -0.20% 5
6.29% 1991-3 -0.73% 5 -0.68%
1 -0.12% 2 0.11% 3 0.21% 5 1.34%
1 0.46% 2 0.36% 3 -0.23% 4 0.43%
5 1.14% 1992-4
-0.59% 1 1.11% 2 0.37% 3 0.18% 5
0.50% 1 0.19% 2 -0.16% 3 0.53% 4 0.80%
5 0.75% 1
3.67% 1993-1 1.18% 2
0.85% 3 0.22% 5 -0.44% 1 0.38% 2 1.25%
3 0.38% 4 0.72% 5 -0.15% 1 -0.23%
2 4.17% 1994-2
-0.61% 3 0.79% 5 0.43% 1 0.77% 2
-0.15% 3 -1.22% 4 0.52% 5 0.09% 1 -0.60%
2 -0.94% 3
-0.92% 1995-3 0.87% 5 -0.08%
1 2.01% 2 0.72% 3 0.15% 4 -0.37%
5 1.37% 1 -0.36% 2 -0.39% 3 -0.81%
4
3.12% 1996-4 1.29% 5
0.47% 1 0.06% 2 0.48% 3 0.41% 5
0.56% 1 0.04% 2 -0.26% 3 0.24% 4 -0.96%
5 2.34% 1997-1
-0.36% 5 -2.08% 1 0.13% 2 0.34% 3
0.38% 5 1.88% 1 -1.49% 2 0.55% 3 -0.11%
4 1.27% 5
0.51% 1998-2 2.55% 1 -0.58%
2 0.98% 3 1.57% 5 -3.32% 1 2.78%
2 -0.43% 3 -2.05% 4 2.50% 5 1.87%
1 5.88% 1999-3
-1.46% 2 2.32% 3 0.80% 5 -0.77% 1 -2.49%
2 0.53% 3 2.95% 4 1.97% 5 0.72%
1 1.15% 2
5.72% 2000-4 5.41% 5 -0.82%
1 -5.05% 2 -1.03% 3 -4.03% 4 1.82% 5 -1.12%
1 10.48% 2 -3.23% 3 -1.57% 4
0.87%
Averages 0.65%
0.22% 0.02%
0.16% -0.58%
0.80% 0.30%
1.16% -0.04%
0.06% 2.75%%
Winners
50% 50%
83% 67%
67% 83%
67% 75%
42% 42%
Russell
2000
Day5 Day4
Day3 Day2
Day1 Day1
Day2 Day3
Day4 Day5
Totals 1989-1 0.43% 5
0.18% 1 0.17% 2 -0.25% 3 0.07% 4 0.20%
5 0.05% 1 -0.09% 2 0.26% 3 -0.17%
4 0.84% 1990-2
-0.22% 1 1.01% 2 0.60% 3 0.09% 4
1.12% 5 0.50% 1 0.45% 2 1.53% 3
0.33% 4 -0.14% 5
5.27% 1991-3 -0.77% 5 -0.70%
1 -0.31% 2 -0.03% 3 0.48% 5 0.16%
1 0.42% 2 0.24% 3 -0.33% 4 0.18%
5 -0.66% 1992-4 -0.02%
1 0.51% 2 0.53% 3 0.27% 5 0.62%
1 0.00% 2 0.19% 3 0.27% 4 0.00%
5 1.23% 1
3.59% 1993-1 0.51% 2
0.69% 3 0.13% 5 0.00% 1 0.11% 2
0.88% 3 0.12% 4 0.38% 5 0.05% 1
0.02% 2
2.88% 1994-2 -0.68% 3 0.59%
5 0.27% 1 0.41% 2 0.23% 3 -0.91%
4 0.32% 5 0.05% 1 -0.38% 2 -0.76%
3 -0.85% 1995-3
0.34% 5 0.32% 1 0.46% 2 0.69% 3
0.61% 4 0.38% 5 0.89% 1 0.19% 2 -0.14%
3 -0.55% 4
3.19% 1996-4 0.79% 5
0.68% 1 -0.26% 2 0.37% 3 0.41% 5 0.35%
1 0.70% 2 0.08% 3 0.27% 4 -0.99%
5 2.38% 1997-1
-0.15% 5 -1.66% 1 -0.22% 2 0.29% 3 0.41%
5 0.99% 1 -0.39% 2 0.31% 3 0.25%
4 0.72% 5
0.56% 1998-2 0.98% 1 -0.39%
2 0.69% 3 0.69% 5 -1.08% 1 0.25%
2 -0.31% 3 -0.63% 4 0.85% 5 0.70%
1 1.75% 1999-3
-1.37% 2 0.33% 3 0.66% 5 -0.43% 1 -0.63%
2 -0.09% 3 1.49% 4 0.90% 5 0.25%
1 -0.01% 2
1.09% 2000-4 3.05% 5 -0.04%
1 -2.69% 2 -0.96% 3 -1.90% 4 2.44% 5 -1.41%
1 4.61% 2 -1.62% 3 -0.53% 4
0.96%
Averages 0.24%
0.13% 0.00%
0.09% 0.04%
0.43% 0.21%
0.65% -0.02%
-0.02% 1.75%%
Winners
50% 67%
67% 58%
75% 75%
75% 83%
64% 42%
Good luck
Sector performance as measured by various sector
instruments.Measured and ranked over the past 5, 10 20 & 50 trading
days.Momentum is combination of Stochastics and RSI added togetherwith a
min of -100 and max of +100. The parameters are 13 day EMA of a21 day
Stochastic added to a 14 day RSI. ROC is the Rate Of Change over
thepast 6 trading days. Positive numbers are good negative numbers are
bad.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk %chg
Rnk %chg M| ROC INV WW
Comm 1 8.02%
1 15.06% 5 16.87% 30 -0.98%
69| 26Paper & Forrest 2
6.76% 20 7.58% 23 9.78% 52
-7.63% 60| 33Rydex Telecom
3 5.72% 16 8.48% 32
7.09% 5 5.89% 45| 37INV
Leisure 4
5.69% 10 9.80% 13 12.42% 37
-2.78% 75|
18Telecomm
5 5.66% 15 8.54% 41
4.74% 18 0.89% 22| 36Cons Svcs
Spydr 6 5.59% 17
8.18% 18 10.95% 47 -5.20% 65| 29TRP Sci
& Tech 7 5.46% 2
12.85% 7 15.93% 6 4.99%
69|
24Leisure
8 5.40% 5 10.70% 15 11.47%
38 -2.79% 67| 28Transportation
9 5.31% 13 9.15% 11 14.13%
50 -5.67% 71| 19Rydex Electron
10 5.30% 9 10.40% 1 23.03%
27 -0.59% 70| 16INV Technology
11 5.12% 3 11.70% 3 18.51%
7 4.35% 74|
23Computers
12 5.00% 19 7.92% 10 14.22%
23 0.16% 68| 17Rydex
Tech 13 4.95%
4 11.63% 4 17.50% 2
7.06% 81|
21Electronics 14
4.77% 8 10.48% 2 22.24% 17
0.91% 72| 15Develop Comm
15 4.62% 14 8.71% 28 7.98%
19 0.72% 55|
34Biotech
16 4.51% 35 4.70% 30 7.51%
9 3.77% 50|
3Automotive 17
4.44% 22 7.09% 19 10.78% 15
1.69% 80|
16Technology 18
4.25% 6 10.70% 6 16.82%
3 6.38% 76|
17Environmental 19 4.20%
18 8.07% 31 7.10% 44 -4.26%
46| 29Cyc/Transp Spydr 20 4.07%
21 7.40% 14 11.64% 14 1.82%
64| 17Multimedia
21 3.98% 12 9.50% 24 9.72%
42 -3.98% 62|
29Chemicals
22 3.95% 23 7.08% 12 12.99%
8 4.03% 80| 13Tech
Spydr 23 3.91%
7 10.53% 8 15.17% 4
6.21% 74| 14Basic Ind Spydr 24
3.90% 25 6.84% 17 10.96% 24
-0.23% 67|
13Software
25 3.86% 11 9.57% 9 14.51%
1 7.50% 82| 19Ind
Materials 26 3.81%
30 5.73% 21 10.31% 26 -0.51% 79|
18Utilities
27 3.47% 32 5.35% 51 -0.49%
53 -7.67% -9| 42Air
Transport 28 3.35%
28 6.27% 20 10.68% 61 -15.07%
53| 4Rydex Retail
29 3.32% 26 6.76% 35 6.43%
12 1.99% 54| 20Rydex
Biotech 30 3.27% 42
3.10% 36 6.08% 13 1.95% 36|
-8Const & Housing 31 3.22%
31 5.66% 29 7.82% 34 -2.07%
55| 14Industrial Spydr 32 3.10%
27 6.61% 25 9.37% 46 -4.38%
58| 18Consumer Prod 33
2.82% 39 4.25% 39 5.17% 35
-2.25% 61|
22Retail
34 2.62% 33 5.22% 42 3.81%
51 -6.84% 50| 21Ind
Equipment 35 2.50%
34 5.18% 16 10.98% 39 -2.91% 67|
12Rydex Basic Mat 36 2.49%
37 4.52% 26 8.19% 36 -2.76%
61| 8Medical Delivery 37 2.40%
53 -1.02% 58 -4.30% 57 -9.08% -48| -4INV
Health 38
2.23% 46 0.94% 49 0.02% 22
0.30% 3|
-12Brokerage
39 1.93% 24 6.95% 22 10.02%
10 2.22% 62|
1Insurance
40 1.59% 51 0.06% 45 1.88%
29 -0.89% 8| -12Health
Care 41 1.30%
49 0.45% 53 -1.89% 28 -0.72% -27|
-10Cons Staples Spydr 42 1.14% 45 0.94%
48 0.35% 11 2.07% 20| 10Rydex
Health 43 1.06%
50 0.35% 52 -0.86% 16 0.97% -13|
-3INV Utilities 44 1.02%
29 6.23% 46 1.53% 49 -5.39%
28| 27Food &
Ag 45
0.98% 48 0.53% 44 1.93% 25
-0.44% 50| 16Financial Spydr 46
0.89% 38 4.38% 33 6.75% 31
-1.22% 56| 9Am
Gold
47 0.87% 54 -1.76% 43 2.95%
20 0.65% 23| 5INV Finan
Serv 48 0.75% 40
4.19% 34 6.44% 32 -1.75% 50|
8Financial Serv 49 0.66%
41 3.61% 37 6.01% 33 -1.94%
51| 1Home Finance
50 0.06% 43 3.02% 38 5.41%
41 -3.56% 29| 5Regional
Banks 51 -0.19% 36 4.59%
27 8.15% 40 -3.28% 51| 11Utilities
Spydr 52 -0.59% 44 1.46%
55 -3.56% 45 -4.37% -19|
18Defense/Aero 53 -0.95%
52 -0.92% 47 0.46% 21 0.40% -1|
-29Rydex Banking 54 -4.02%
47 0.92% 40 4.94% 55 -8.60% 13|
-22Rydex PM
55 -5.52% 60 -7.77% 54 -3.38% 48
-5.24% -20| -19Natural Gas
56 -6.27% 55 -3.48% 61 -7.56% 59 -11.08%
-39| -19Energy Spydr 57
-7.50% 57 -4.64% 60 -6.12% 60 -11.94% -32|
-25INV Energy 58
-7.77% 56 -3.72% 57 -4.01% 56 -9.05% -10|
-27Energy
59 -8.98% 58 -5.96% 59 -6.04% 58 -11.02%
-31| -31Energy Service 60 -12.51% 59
-6.66% 50 -0.29% 43 -4.22% 0| -39Rydex
Engy Svcs 61 -12.76% 61 -7.98% 56
-3.76% 54 -8.41% -12| -36
Selected low load and no load growth funds ranked over the past 5, 10,
20 & 50 trading days.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk %chg
Rnk %chg M| ROC Pro Ultra
OTC 1 8.89% 1
22.59% 1 35.67% 1 9.62%
75| 23Crabbe Huson Spec 2 7.22%
18 6.76% 11 10.93% 82 -4.97%
51| 5Legg Mason Spec 3
6.54% 6 12.64% 8 15.14% 65
-2.57% 65| 21Firsthand Tech Val 4 6.31%
7 12.48% 5 18.77% 10 4.20%
79| 22INVESCO Grth
5 6.25% 3 15.25% 4
21.43% 2 8.80% 91| 31Firsthand Tech Ino
6 5.87% 10 10.19% 6 17.65%
24 1.88% 72| 12Legg Mason
Val 7 5.26% 11
9.24% 21 8.55% 77 -4.48% 48|
29VanWag Em Grth 8 4.69%
2 19.20% 2 21.55% 45 -0.76%
71| 9Firsthand Tech Ldr 9 4.65%
5 12.68% 3 21.49% 22 1.97%
79| 20Gabelli Growth 10
4.58% 9 10.52% 9 13.98%
9 4.24% 72| 15Rydex
OTC 11
4.42% 8 10.88% 7 17.32%
3 7.14% 78| 23Firsthand
Med 12 4.31% 22
6.43% 15 9.91% 7 4.77%
59|
6Yacktman
13 3.88% 25 6.09% 30 7.55%
25 1.48% 81| 16Oak
Value 14
3.87% 23 6.22% 44 6.02% 79
-4.59% 52| 20SIT
Growth 15
3.86% 12 7.81% 14 10.19% 31
0.58% 64| 18PBH Emer Grth
16 3.73% 31 5.47% 27 7.82%
68 -3.22% 55| 12Berger
100 17 3.69%
13 7.80% 20 8.67% 18 2.52%
73| 23Pro Ultra Bull 18
3.52% 4 15.15% 33 6.76% 93
-8.69% 48| 22Wasatch Micro
19 3.47% 63 3.65% 16 9.76%
4 7.00% 72| 2TRowe Pr New Hrzn
20 3.35% 29 5.65% 19 8.77%
66 -3.05% 65| 13Fid Grth
Co 21 3.26%
21 6.64% 12 10.59% 42 -0.32% 68|
15Ariel Appreciation 22 3.22% 14 7.33%
26 8.07% 53 -1.15% 68| 14INVESCO Emer
Opps 23 3.20% 43 4.73% 29
7.73% 72 -3.75% 56| 7Hartland
value 24 3.15% 44
4.73% 34 6.73% 21 2.24% 81|
18Baron Asset 25
2.99% 28 5.67% 46 5.89% 80
-4.61% 56|
16Janus
26 2.95% 16 6.83% 17 9.76%
61 -2.24% 67| 23Robertson St Em
27 2.93% 37 4.93% 36 6.66%
76 -4.20% 49| 3Nicholas
II 28 2.92%
47 4.70% 69 4.65% 29 0.99%
55| 19Founders Discovery 29 2.90% 76
2.85% 59 5.16% 71 -3.66% 48|
4PBHG Sel Eq 30
2.89% 17 6.79% 28 7.78% 46
-0.86% 70| 27Janus Enterprise 31
2.85% 61 3.75% 75 3.75% 90
-7.26% 35| 9Columbia Sm Cap
32 2.78% 70 3.20% 64 4.91%
83 -5.27% 51| 10Cohen Srs Reit
33 2.70% 68 3.37% 78 3.42%
75 -4.06% 42| 32Founders Growth
34 2.65% 20 6.64% 22 8.41%
6 4.82% 76|
27Nicholas
35 2.63% 36 4.94% 71 4.44%
41 -0.23% 55| 20Rainier Sm/Mid
36 2.57% 58 4.06% 51 5.64%
58 -1.87% 60| 17Safeco
Grth 37 2.57%
60 3.84% 32 7.15% 73 -3.76%
63| 10TRowe Pr Growth 38 2.57%
38 4.91% 37 6.63% 12 3.72%
72| 18Fid Cap Appreciati 39 2.54% 34
5.15% 41 6.33% 67 -3.13% 56|
16SteinRoe Cap Opps 40 2.49% 52
4.49% 54 5.44% 78 -4.49% 50|
1420th Cent Grth 41 2.42%
27 5.98% 23 8.39% 14 3.56%
74|
16Oakmark
42 2.32% 40 4.88% 65 4.88%
70 -3.63% 56| 23Fid Div
Grth 43 2.27%
30 5.64% 49 5.68% 38 0.25%
56| 18Fid Emer Grth 44
2.26% 19 6.68% 13 10.23% 40
-0.16% 57| 5Janus Mercury
45 2.26% 39 4.89% 72 4.30%
62 -2.39% 48| 25Rydex
Nova 46 2.25%
15 6.99% 18 8.97% 37 0.36%
62| 16Loomis Sayles Grth 47 2.14% 49
4.61% 66 4.84% 19 2.36% 63|
20Berger 101 48
2.14% 24 6.19% 40 6.50% 17
2.52% 73|
32Clipper
49 2.14% 65 3.56% 68 4.68%
15 3.23% 58| 13Drey Ag
Grth 50 2.12%
67 3.54% 61 5.01% 87 -6.08%
53| 12Loomis Sayles Sm C 51 2.12% 71
3.14% 56 5.35% 63 -2.56% 66|
15Texas Cap Val 52 2.11%
64 3.59% 50 5.66% 85 -5.52%
48| 7Fid
Value 53
2.10% 51 4.53% 47 5.78% 69
-3.30% 68| 20Robertson St Micro 54 2.07%
90 -0.96% 86 0.34% 5 5.61%
43| 14Babson Ent II 55
2.05% 75 2.88% 77 3.60% 55
-1.32% 48| 12Robertson St Va 56
2.03% 45 4.73% 55 5.42% 39
0.05% 52|
10Berwyn
57 1.98% 78 2.66% 60 5.14%
52 -0.99% 50| -1Founders Blue Chip 58
1.98% 32 5.45% 35 6.67% 11
3.80% 86| 3320th Cent Heritage 59 1.97%
85 0.78% 87 0.10% 94 -10.25%
1|
2Dreyfus
60 1.96% 48 4.67% 38 6.59%
20 2.28% 73| 21Janus
20 61
1.96% 26 6.06% 25 8.39%
8 4.41% 67| 13Evergren Val Tim
62 1.94% 33 5.29% 31 7.24%
59 -2.04% 68| 16Founders Special
63 1.91% 66 3.56% 63 4.92%
88 -6.16% 87| 58Neuberger & Brmn M 64
1.89% 35 5.04% 24 8.39% 64
-2.56% 60| 8Fid Low Price
65 1.86% 77 2.76% 70 4.47%
35 0.47% 61| 8TRP Bl Chp
Grth 66 1.86% 42 4.75%
39 6.55% 13 3.61% 70| 16Drey Sm
Val 67 1.82%
50 4.54% 10 12.51% 81 -4.68% 59|
-320th Cent Ultra 68 1.78%
55 4.31% 45 5.92% 33 0.56%
71| 19Schwab 1000
69 1.76% 41 4.82% 43 6.08%
32 0.57% 65| 18Drey Grth & Incm
70 1.75% 57 4.19% 42 6.09%
49 -0.95% 69| 23Mutual
Shares 71 1.69% 72
3.12% 79 3.07% 86 -5.62% 46| 28Fid
Trend 72
1.63% 56 4.21% 57 5.33% 47
-0.91% 63|
18Fid
73 1.51% 62 3.74% 67 4.74%
57 -1.57% 64| 22Rainier core Eq
74 1.38% 54 4.46% 53 5.61%
30 0.92% 63| 17Montgomery Grth
75 1.37% 46 4.71% 52 5.62%
28 1.06% 65| 21TRowe Pr Sm Cap
76 1.35% 80 2.31% 82 2.79%
56 -1.41% 56| 19Warburg Pincus GI 77
1.30% 74 2.96% 62 5.00% 60
-2.07% 59| 11PBHG
Growth 78 1.30%
79 2.57% 80 3.01% 84 -5.42%
40|
9Evergren
79 1.23% 59 4.03% 58 5.27%
23 1.89% 74| 2520th Cent Select
80 1.15% 69 3.21% 73 4.05%
34 0.52% 60| 18Drey
Apprec 81 0.94%
73 2.96% 76 3.63% 16 2.53%
60| 18Fid Equity IncomeI 82 0.90% 53
4.46% 48 5.76% 50 -0.98% 60|
1220th Cent Vista 83 0.85% 89
-0.65% 91 -1.57% 92 -8.02% -27| -8Babson
Value 84 0.76%
81 2.23% 83 2.11% 89 -6.75%
48| 22Strong Discovery 85 0.62%
83 2.03% 74 3.94% 43 -0.56%
56| 0Vantobel Value 86
0.16% 87 -0.16% 88 -0.10% 26
1.37% 1| -19Fid
Puritan 87 -0.06%
84 1.73% 81 2.92% 44 -0.73%
56| 7Robertson St Contr 88 -0.11% 82
2.05% 84 1.61% 96 -11.32% 15|
13Brandywine 89
-0.18% 91 -1.68% 93 -2.42% 97 -11.42% -40|
-21Open Fund 90
-0.19% 88 -0.19% 89 -0.19% 54 -1.16%
50| -50Caldwell Mkt Op 91 -0.42% 92
-2.10% 92 -2.41% 36 0.42% -76| -14TRowe Pr Cap
Appre 92 -0.46% 86 0.73% 85
1.34% 51 -0.98% 46| -17Rydex
Ursa 93 -1.57%
94 -4.57% 96 -5.92% 48 -0.93% -64| -11Pro
Ultra Bear 94 -3.42% 97 -9.17%
97 -12.05% 74 -3.89% -65| -15Longleaf Sm
Cp 95 -4.63% 95 -4.76% 94
-4.38% 98 -14.38% -14| -29TRowe Pr New Era 96
-4.73% 93 -2.62% 90 -1.28% 91 -7.43% -12|
-36Prudent Bear 97 -6.12% 98
-10.76% 98 -13.65% 27 1.20% -65|
-7Kaufman
98 -6.26% 96 -5.61% 95 -4.94% 95
-10.82% 2| -30Pro OTC Bear
99 -8.60% 99 -19.57% 99 -29.89% 99 -24.57% -78|
-16
Selected Gold funds ranked over the past 5, 10, 20 & 50 trading
days.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk %chg
Rnk %chg M| ROC Fid Sel Am
Gold 1 0.87% 2
-1.76% 2 2.95% 7 0.65%
23| 5Franklin Gold
2 0.78% 3 -1.96% 5
0.11% 13 -4.55% -14| 3Oppenhmr
Gold 3 0.73% 1
-1.52% 4 1.46% 9 -1.72%
14| 5Vanguard PM
4 0.60% 4 -2.35% 1
4.13% 1 4.26% 20| 1Scudder
Gold 5 0.30%
5 -4.15% 8 -0.74% 12 -2.34%
-20| 8Lexington Silver 6
0.00% 13 -7.42% 11 -1.40% 4
2.42% -66| -70Gabelli Gold 7
-0.49% 6 -4.35% 3 1.82%
2 2.67% 2| -21Lexington
Gold 8 -1.33% 12 -5.73%
7 -0.67% 8 0.34% -10| -9US World
Gold 9 -1.73% 7
-4.66% 9 -0.97% 6 0.79% -14|
-17Benham Gold 10
-1.96% 11 -5.67% 10 -0.99% 5
1.22% -28| -25US Global Gold 11 -2.21%
10 -5.34% 12 -1.85% 11 -2.21% -61| -60Invesco
Gold 12 -2.99% 8
-5.26% 6 -0.61% 10 -1.82% 43|
-7VanEck Gold 13
-3.49% 9 -5.32% 14 -7.78%
3 2.47% -84| -21Rydex
PM 14
-5.52% 14 -7.77% 13 -3.38% 14 -5.24% -20|
-19
Selected International funds ranked over the past 5, 10, 20 & 50
trading days.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk %chg
Rnk %chg M| ROC Scudder Pacific Op
1 4.61% 2 9.22% 3
12.38% 4 0.74% 82| 13Montgomery Emer Mk
2 4.47% 3 9.07% 4
11.67% 13 -2.70% 81| 20Fid SE
Asia 3 4.47%
1 9.36% 1 13.18% 3
2.13% 84| 12Fid
Europe 4
4.46% 5 7.91% 2 12.56%
2 3.46% 68| 0Fid Emerg
Mkts 5 4.20% 4
8.94% 6 11.13% 9 -1.10% 79|
17INVESCO European 6 3.77%
6 7.63% 5 11.57% 19 -3.66%
60| -3Lexington WW Em Mk 7 3.44%
11 4.59% 19 5.77% 36 -11.01% 29|
22Oakmark Intl 8
3.17% 10 4.84% 8 7.14% 31
-7.08% 65| 11Templeton Deve Mkt 9 2.82%
8 4.98% 10 6.88% 26 -5.48%
96| 11Fid Pac Basin 10
2.28% 13 4.51% 24 4.75% 16
-3.47% 45| 10Fid Worldwide
11 2.22% 18 4.08% 18 5.78%
7 -0.56% 68| 11Janus Worldwide
12 2.14% 9 4.91% 9
7.06% 8 -0.81% 65| 8Templeton
World 13 2.11% 14 4.45%
13 6.67% 5 0.48% 81|
3Vanguard Intl Grth 14 1.99% 16 4.20%
15 6.44% 17 -3.50% 49| -11Fid
Overseas 15 1.73%
15 4.34% 16 6.26% 10 -1.53%
55| 1Scudder Global Sm 16 1.67%
19 3.93% 25 4.61% 21 -4.59%
58| 9Templeton Foreign 17 1.56%
17 4.11% 12 6.67% 18 -3.60%
72| 3TRowe Japan
18 1.55% 34 -0.15% 35 -3.95% 30
-6.68% -26| -5Founders WrldWd 19
1.48% 20 3.73% 20 5.61% 6
-0.34% 61| 0SIT Int
Grth 20 1.28%
23 3.26% 22 5.15% 14 -2.76%
51| -5Strong Intl Stock 21 1.20%
22 3.58% 23 4.86% 23 -4.92%
51| 0Harbor Intl
22 1.02% 24 3.11% 17 5.85%
20 -4.11% 57| -1Fid Diversfied Int 23
0.97% 25 2.84% 26 4.50% 12
-2.54% 61| -6TRowe Intl Stock 24
0.89% 12 4.54% 21 5.22% 15
-2.84% 49| 3Warburg Pincus Int 25 0.88%
26 2.31% 27 3.50% 27 -5.57%
52| 0Scudder Global 26
0.87% 27 1.95% 30 2.52% 25
-5.23% 30| 4Scudder Latin Am 27
0.82% 7 5.12% 14 6.46% 28
-5.81% 68| 10Vanguard Intl Euro 28 0.79%
21 3.59% 11 6.83% 11 -2.52% 47|
-16TRowe Int Discover 29 0.46% 30 1.55%
31 1.97% 29 -6.14% 49| -2Vanguard Intl
Pac 30 0.44% 32 0.73% 33
-0.72% 33 -8.27% -17| -2020th Cent Intl Eq 31
0.38% 31 1.41% 28 3.00% 22
-4.82% 30| -18Scudder Intl
32 0.35% 29 1.68% 29 2.64%
34 -8.28% 27| -15Scudder Japan
33 0.28% 35 -0.70% 34 -2.06% 35
-8.34% -14| -19Loomis Sayles Intl 34 -0.30% 33
0.20% 32 1.84% 24 -5.05% 27|
-35Lexington Russia 35 -4.69% 28
1.83% 7 10.76% 1 3.60% 50|
-26Lexington Global 36 -4.88% 36 -5.98%
36 -7.15% 32 -7.99% -68| -50
Bond fund averages and indices ranked over the past 5, 10, 20 & 50
trading days.^
Name
5 day 10 day 20
day 50 day
Momentum^
Rnk %chg Rnk %chg Rnk %chg
Rnk %chg M| ROC Junk
Avg
1 0.78% 1 1.90%
1 2.53% 9 -2.72% 50|
3DJ 20 Bonds 2
0.13% 2 -0.12% 3 0.04%
6 0.42% -3| -32Short
Maturity 3 -0.82% 3
-0.53% 5 0.00% 4 0.69% 11|
-35Muni Avg
4 -1.02% 4 -0.66% 2
0.05% 7 0.36% 19| -23Intl
Avg 5
-1.69% 5 -0.74% 4 0.00%
8 0.17% 8| -35Corp
Avg 6
-1.76% 6 -1.26% 7 -0.39%
3 0.74% 3| -41Long
Matruity 7 -2.41% 7
-1.64% 6 -0.18% 5 0.65% 7|
-37Shearson BD Indx 8 -5.13% 8
-3.75% 8 -0.98% 1 2.34% 7|
-59Zero Avg
9 -5.91% 9 -4.75% 9 -1.00%
2 2.02% -8| -66
Recent performance of selected international markets as measured by
WEBS^
5 day 10 day 20 day 50 day 100
day
1yrMalaysia
3.91% 3.20% 1.68%
-8.60% 5.96%
-19.64%Singapore
4.41% 5.88% 3.04% -14.29%
-16.88% -34.55%Hong
Kong 7.14%
11.11% 14.74% -0.43% -12.86%
-22.16%Belgium
-2.55% 0.86% 3.02%
-9.77% -4.00%
-16.77%Austria
1.60% 2.34% -0.67% -15.15%
-11.46%
-5.08%UK
-1.81% 0.69% 4.86%
-3.29% -7.48%
-17.59%Japan
0.48% -1.42% -2.39% -8.57%
-18.91% -34.51%Switzerland
1.75% 5.00% 6.33%
-1.82% -6.14%
-16.00%Italy
-0.19% 2.00% 3.62% -10.97%
-10.42%
-29.54%Canada
5.27% 7.48% 7.48%
-1.15% -8.37%
-26.08%Netherlands
-1.06% 1.95% 7.21% -9.44%
-12.22%
-26.13%Mexico
1.19% 3.41% 3.52% -11.15%
-16.34%
-7.39%France
0.44% 2.02% 4.39%
-7.01% -8.83%
-24.48%Spain
2.61% 7.28% 7.11%
-2.70% -3.23%
-10.69%Sweden
6.94% 12.37% 16.33%
3.81% 1.27%
-31.12%Australia
3.31% 5.17% 8.41%
0.07% -2.78%
0.40%Germany
2.49% 8.27% 10.37% -5.57%
-10.87% -26.15%
Recent performance of the dollar index and selected currenciesrelative
to the US
dollar.^ 5
day 10 day 20 day 50 day 100
day 1yrDollar
1.147% 1.641% 1.828% 3.109%
-2.209% 0.692%Euro
-1.096% -2.038% -1.559% -2.803% 3.415%
2.137%Germany -1.094% -2.037% -1.568%
-2.774% 3.408%
2.123%Japan -2.163% -0.973%
-1.453% -3.325% 1.244%
-12.473%France -1.101% -2.035%
-1.534% -2.671% 3.533%
2.276%Swiss -1.049% -1.533%
-0.805% 0.633% 7.324%
6.005%UK -2.079%
-2.320% -0.543% -1.816% 0.784%
-0.272%Australia 1.636% 2.596%
2.535% -1.473% 0.695% -1.212%
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