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[EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Here's an SPY trading System



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--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, pumrysh <no_reply@xxxx> wrote:
> JO,
> 
> Thanks!!
> 
> You mentioned a single small losing year, which year was it?
> 
> Thanks again,
> 
> Preston
> 
> --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, manohohman <no_reply@xxxx> 
> wrote:
> > Roy (code refinement) and I (theory and application) took Zweig's 
> old 
> > 4% indicator based on the Valueline Geometric Index, updated it, 
> > added a twist to it and refined it for trading the SPY Daily.
> > 
> > Here's how it works. 
> > 
> > 1. Instead of the Valueline Geometric Index, this system uses the 
> > Valueline Arithmetic Index. (This is an important difference!) 
This 
> > index is $VLE on Esignal. (I don't know what it is on whatever 
free 
> > service you've found so don't ask me.) 
> > 
> > 2. Once you've opened that Index on a daily chart, color the 
price 
> > line (not bars) red, create the following expert, and apply it.
> > 
> > Highlight Code Green
> > 
> > X:=If(Cum(Ref(C>Lowest(C)*1.04 OR C<Highest(C)*.96,-1))=0,
> >  If(C>Lowest(C)*1.04,1,
> >   If(C<Highest(C)*.96,-1,0)),
> > If(PREV=1,
> >  If(C<HighestSince(1,PREV<1,C)*.96,-1,PREV),
> >   If(C>LowestSince(1,PREV>-1,C)*1.04,1,PREV)));
> > I:=Cum(1)<=2;
> > State:=BarsSince(X=1 OR I)<BarsSince(X=-1 OR I)+(Cum(X=1)=1);
> > State;
> > 
> > 3. Since March your price line should be green, except for two 
red 
> > down turns. 
> > 
> > 4. To this chart apply a simple 20 ma. 
> > 
> > 5. Open another chart of the SPY daily. Create a new window on 
the 
> > Valueline chart, copy the SPY daily and paste it into the new 
> window 
> > on the Valueline Chart. Close the SPY chart.
> > 
> > 6. Here are the trading rules. You must follow them exactly. A 
buy 
> > signal is created when either the price line turns green or 
crosses 
> > the 20 dma. You take which ever signal comes first. It doesn't 
> matter.
> > 
> > A sell signal comes when the price line turns red or crosses 
below 
> > the 20 dma. It doesn't matter which comes first. You take the 
first 
> > signal from either indicator. You sell the long and take the 
short. 
> > If you're trading in a retirement account, you can't short but 
you 
> > can buy Rydex, Profunds or Potomac on the short side. 
> > 
> > 7. To avoid whipsaws, you can use a pyramiding technique of 
buying 
> > one third of your buyin at a time. It will limit losses on the 
> > whipsaws but reduces your overall return somewhat. It's all in 
your 
> > risk profile. You decide.
> > 
> > 7. Since you can't buy the Valueline Arithmetic Index you buy the 
> SPY 
> > on the Valueline entry and exit signals. 
> > 
> > 8. Don't apply this to any other security except the SPY.
> > 
> > 9. How good does it work? 
> > 
> > Over the last 10 years, it's averaged 22% a year, with one small 
> > losing year and 40% plus gains the last 3 years. Just take 
> whichever 
> > signal occurs first, either the green indicator signal or the 20 
> dma 
> > crossover. 
> > 
> > This is as simple as TA gets. Use it to your advantage. I got 
this 
> by 
> > paying attention to some of my systems development books. It's 
> about 
> > twice as profitable as Zweig's original method, and is about 3 
> times 
> > more profitable than buy and hold.
> > 
> > Now isn't this why you bought MS in the first place. I know, 
don't 
> > tell me, all of you arrogant wizard traders won't waste your time 
> on 
> > a measely 22% a year unless I can hang a 1 in front of the 22. 
No, 
> > you killer TA masters are going to make buckets of money! Really, 
> > well here's an article to put that theory to rest.
> > 
> > www.investorhome.com/psych.htm
> > 
> > Read this article on behavioral finance and see what arrogance 
gets 
> > you......
> > 
> > This system is free, my momma could make money with it, and now 
you 
> > don't have any excuses for losing dough. 
> > 
> > JO


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