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------=_NextPart_000_000A_01C28EC3.838B3320
Content-Type: text/plain;
charset="iso-8859-1"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
=20
Dear people:=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
I have written this guide because I have noted a lot of people have entered=
to stockspredic and have not filled the subscription form, then they didn'=
t see the predictions tables.=20=20=20=20=20=20
Also I want to answer here the FAQ.=20=20=20=20=20=20
If you are a subscriber and you wrote your real e-mail you can erase this m=
ail because I will send a similar one to your e-mail box.=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
I think that we have two problems:=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
First, the rules about how to utilize the predictions are not clear in the =
site.=20=20=20=20=20=20
Second, traders are conservative people and they are attached to their own=
prediction's systems, but if you have an open mind you can improve your pr=
ofits.=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
Then take a look to this guide and give to my method a new opportunity. =
=20=20
I'm sure you will not regret it.=20=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
GUIDE to the USE of stockspredic PREDICTIONS=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20
Subscription: Click in the link predictions at the top of the page. The lo=
gin window will open and at the end of the page you have the subscription l=
ink. Fill the form and go to the end of the page, you must agree with the d=
isclaimer conditions and click Accept. You will be sent to the Predictions =
page.=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
Predictions: The Predictions table have only the predictions of last five d=
ays, older are useless for trading they are used for statistics purposes an=
d have been passed to the Statistic table.=20=20=20=20=20=20
The Predictions table is=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20
Ticker
Prediction
Term
Previous Extreme
Current Extreme
=20=20=20=20=20
Dates
Date
Value
Date
Value
=20=20=20=20=20
AMAT
Min.
13/20-Nov
04-Nov
17.100
13-Nov
14.260
=20=20=20=20=20
It must be read as follow:=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
AMAT will reach a minimum between Nov 11 and Nov 20. The cycle begun in Nov=
04 with the maximum of 17.1 the current minimum is LOW value of Nov 13, 14=
.26.=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
What can you do with this information?=20=20=20=20=20=20=20
The first predictions to consider, in order to trade, are those that are in=
a current extreme, then those that have as current extreme date, the date =
of yesterday.=20=20=20=20=20=20
Suppose that now is Nov 14 at the opening of the market and you like this t=
rade, because your sentiments are that AMAT will have a good growing after =
this minimum, then you have two problems to solve=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
First Problem: which is the better price in order to trade? =
=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
Obviously it will be the absolute minimum, but what to do in order to look =
for it?=20=20=20=20=20=20
The first thing to check is if at the beginning of the market AMAT is growi=
ng and if the LOW and HIGH are higher than yesterday. Then you can consider=
that 14.26 have good chances of being the minimum.=20=20=20=20=20=20
If the price continues going down you must wait the change in trend, probab=
ly as much as two or three days.=20=20=20=20=20=20
This first problem is the more important and more difficult to solve but on=
ce you give credit to the predictions you will see that most of the times t=
he difference between the elected price and the extreme are not very import=
ant.=20=20=20=20=20=20
You must think that the price are near the extreme and if the trade likes y=
ou, then you must not miss the opportunity=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20=20
Second Problem: When you must close your position?=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
The minimum of the average change in price after the extreme is 10%. =
=20
If the difference between the price at which you buy and the absolute minim=
um is 3% you must wait a profit of 7% at least.=20=20=20=20=20=20
Then if you are a conservative trader when you have 10% profit you close th=
e position, and you look for a new prediction.=20=20=20=20=20=20
But if you like very much that trade and you think it could give a profit o=
f 30 or 40%, then after have obtained a 15% profit you must follow very clo=
sely the evolution and if your profit suffer a reduction of more than 5% yo=
u must close your position.=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
What are the risks?=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
When the whole market begins a movement in the same direction than the pred=
iction, in this case a bearish rush, or if it appear news about the underly=
ing in the same sense than the prediction, in this case bad news, then you =
are in problems and you must close your position with a minimum of losses. =
=20=20=20=20=20
Probably that is not the case and the prediction isn't a bad one, but your =
sentiments about the stock was not good and the price begins to oscillate n=
ear the extreme, close as soon as possible and look for another prediction.=
=20=20=20=20=20=20
If the prediction is a bad one, one in ten, don't think at your bad luck th=
ose are the trading rules.=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
I hope these basic concepts will help you to profit of the great advantage =
that you have when you know that the price is near the extreme and that a c=
hange in trend is imminent.=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
If you have additional questions don't hesitate and ask, I hope to hear you=
r comments.=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
GOOD LUCK
=20
Anibal Archenti
www.stockspredic.com=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20
Previous mail sent few days ago:
I'm a researcher in applied math. I have worked four years in a mathematica=
l
model that predicts the occurrence of maximum and minimum of stock prices i=
n
a period of 5 or 6 market sessions.
The probability of goal is near to 80%. This probability can be deteriorate=
d
only if the market enter in a bullish or bearish rush or if it appears bad
or good news over the stock.
In these situations, investors act with an amount of irrational behavior an=
d
the overshoot cannot be predicted with an statistic model.
My model is in Internet in www.stockspredic.com and the site is free.
I think this is a very useful tool for traders and I need feedback of
experienced traders.
Please take a look to the site, try it, and write me about the results to
em@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx or to anibalarchenti@xxxxxxxxxxxx
=20
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<DIV><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> <BR>Dear
people: <BR> <BR>I
have written this guide because I have noted a lot of people have entered to
stockspredic and have not filled the subscription form, then they didn't see the
predictions tables. <BR>Also I want to answer here
the FAQ. <BR>If you are a subscriber and you wrote
your real e-mail you can erase this mail because I will send a similar one to
your e-mail box.
<BR> <BR>I think that we have two
problems: <BR>
<BR>First, the rules about how to utilize the predictions are not clear in the
site. <BR>Second, traders are conservative
people and they are attached to their own prediction's systems, but if
you have an open mind you can improve your
profits. <BR>
<BR>Then take a look to this guide and give to my method a new
opportunity. <BR>I'm sure you will not regret
it. <BR>
<BR><U></FONT><FONT color=#000080 face=Arial size=3><STRONG>GUIDE to the USE of
stockspredic PREDICTIONS
<BR></STRONG></FONT></U><FONT face=Arial></FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2><FONT
face=Arial><STRONG><U></U></STRONG></FONT></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial><STRONG><U>Subscription</U></STRONG>:
Click in the link predictions at the top of the page. The login window will open
and at the end of the page you have the subscription link. Fill the form and go
to the end of the page, you must agree with the disclaimer conditions and click
Accept. You will be sent to the Predictions page.
<BR> <BR><STRONG><U>Predictions</U></STRONG>: The
Predictions table have only the predictions of last five days, older are useless
for trading they are used for statistics purposes and have been passed to the
Statistic table. <BR>The Predictions table
is <BR> </DIV><BR>
<TABLE border=0 cellPadding=0 cellSpacing=0
style="BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse; WIDTH: 420pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 0cm 0cm 0cm"
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<TBODY>
<TR style="HEIGHT: 14.25pt">
<TD noWrap rowSpan=2
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width=80>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><B><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Ticker<?xml:namespace
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/><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P></TD>
<TD noWrap rowSpan=2
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<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><B><SPAN
lang=EN-US
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<TD noWrap
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<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><B><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Term<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P></TD>
<TD colSpan=2 noWrap
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vAlign=bottom width=160>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><B><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Previous
Extreme<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P></TD>
<TD colSpan=2 noWrap
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: black 1pt solid; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: black 1.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black 1.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 14.25pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 0.75pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.75pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.75pt; WIDTH: 120pt"
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<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><B><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Current
Extreme<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P></TD></TR>
<TR style="HEIGHT: 13.5pt">
<TD noWrap
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<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Dates<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD>
<TD noWrap
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vAlign=bottom>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Value<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD>
<TD noWrap
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<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Date<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD>
<TD noWrap
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: black 1pt solid; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: black 1.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 13.5pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 0.75pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.75pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.75pt"
vAlign=bottom>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Value<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD></TR>
<TR style="HEIGHT: 15.75pt">
<TD noWrap
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: black 1.5pt solid; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 15.75pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 0.75pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.75pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.75pt"
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<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><B><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">AMAT<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P></TD>
<TD
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: black 1pt solid; BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 15.75pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 0.75pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.75pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.75pt; WIDTH: 60pt"
vAlign=top width=80>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Min.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD>
<TD noWrap
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: black 1pt solid; BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 15.75pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 0.75pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.75pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.75pt"
vAlign=bottom>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">13/20-Nov</SPAN></P></TD>
<TD noWrap
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: black 1pt solid; BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 15.75pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 0.75pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.75pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.75pt"
vAlign=bottom>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">04-Nov<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD>
<TD noWrap
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: black 1pt solid; BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 15.75pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 0.75pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.75pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.75pt"
vAlign=bottom>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">17.100<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD>
<TD noWrap
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 15.75pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 0.75pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.75pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.75pt"
vAlign=bottom>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">13-Nov<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD>
<TD noWrap
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: black 1.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 15.75pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 0.75pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.75pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.75pt"
vAlign=bottom>
<P align=center class=MsoNormal style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"><SPAN
lang=EN-US
style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">14.260<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<DIV><BR>It must be read as follow:
<BR> <BR><STRONG><EM>AMAT will reach a minimum
between Nov 11 and Nov 20. The cycle begun in Nov 04 with the maximum of 17.1
the current minimum is LOW value of Nov 13,
14.26.</EM></STRONG>
<BR> <BR>What can you do with this
information? <BR>The first predictions to
consider, in order to trade, are those that are in a current extreme, then those
that have as current extreme date, the date of
yesterday. <BR>Suppose that now is Nov 14 at the
opening of the market and you like this trade, because your sentiments are that
AMAT will have a good growing after this minimum, then you have two
problems to solve
<BR> <BR><STRONG><U>First Problem: which is the
better price in order to trade</U></STRONG>?
<BR> <BR>Obviously it will be the absolute
minimum, but what to do in order to look for it?
<BR>The first thing to check is if at the beginning of the market AMAT is
growing and if the LOW and HIGH are higher than yesterday. Then you can consider
that 14.26 have good chances of being the minimum.
<BR>If the price continues going down you must wait the change in trend,
probably as much as two or three days. <BR>This
first problem is the more important and more difficult to solve but once you
give credit to the predictions you will see that most of the times the
difference between the elected price and the extreme are not very
important. <BR><STRONG>You must think that the
price are near the extreme and if the trade likes you, then you must not miss
the opportunity
<BR> <BR><U>Second Problem: When you must
close your position</U></STRONG>?
<BR> <BR>The minimum of the average change in
price after the extreme is 10%. <BR>If the
difference between the price at which you buy and the absolute minimum is 3% you
must wait a profit of 7% at least. <BR>Then if you
are a conservative trader when you have 10% profit you close the position,
and you look for a new prediction. <BR>But if you
like very much that trade and you think it could give a profit of 30 or 40%,
then after have obtained a 15% profit you must follow very closely the evolution
and if your profit suffer a reduction of more than 5% you must close your
position. <BR>
<BR><STRONG><U>What are the risks</U></STRONG>?
<BR> <BR>When the whole market begins a movement
in the same direction than the prediction, in this case a bearish rush, or if it
appear news about the underlying in the same sense than the prediction, in this
case bad news, then you are in problems and you must close your position with a
minimum of losses. <BR>Probably that is not the
case and the prediction isn't a bad one, but your sentiments about the stock was
not good and the price begins to oscillate near the extreme, close as soon
as possible and look for another prediction.
<BR>If the prediction is a bad one, one in ten, don't think at your bad luck
those are the trading rules.
<BR> <BR><STRONG>I hope these basic concepts will
help you to profit of the great advantage that you have when you know that the
price is near the extreme and that a change in trend is
imminent</STRONG>.
<BR> <BR>If you have additional questions don't
hesitate and ask, I hope to hear your
comments. <BR>
<BR>GOOD LUCK<BR> <BR><STRONG>Anibal Archenti<BR></STRONG><A
href="http://www.stockspredic.com";><FONT
color=#000080>www.stockspredic.com</FONT></A> <BR> <BR><STRONG>Previous
mail sent few days ago</STRONG>:</DIV>
<DIV>I'm a researcher in applied math. I have worked four years in a
mathematical<BR>model that predicts the occurrence of maximum and minimum of
stock prices in<BR>a period of 5 or 6 market sessions.<BR>The probability
of goal is near to 80%. This probability can be deteriorated<BR>only if the
market enter in a bullish or bearish rush or if it appears bad<BR>or good news
over the stock.<BR>In these situations, investors act with an amount of
irrational behavior and<BR>the overshoot cannot be predicted with an statistic
model.<BR>My model is in Internet in <A
href="http://www.stockspredic.com";>www.stockspredic.com</A> and the site is
free.<BR>I think this is a very useful tool for traders and I need feedback
of<BR>experienced traders.<BR>Please take a look to the site, try it, and write
me about the results to<BR><A
href="mailto:em@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>em@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> or to <A
href="mailto:anibalarchenti@xxxxxxxxxxxx";>anibalarchenti@xxxxxxxxxxxx</A><BR> </FONT></FONT></DIV>
<br>
<tt>
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:<BR>
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