[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: Fibonacci (Optical) Illusions



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Dear Tomasz,
Thank you very much for your reply.
Best Regards
Dimitris Tsokakis
--- In amibroker@xxxx, "Tomasz Janeczko" <amibroker@xxxx> wrote:
> Hello Dimitris,
> 
> 
> >I am disappointed with this new "illusionary" tool. It is in 
direct disagreement
> >with the VERY SERIOUS LEVEL of the software I use.
> The problem is that Fibonacci Arc tool is used by many people and 
present not only
> in Metastock but also in almost every professional T/A package.
> 
> I understand your concern but Fibonacci Arcs work just like that 
and I was not able
> to implement them in a different way and still call them "Fibonacci 
Arcs".
> 
> But... with AmiBroker you have a choice:
> there is a new tool called simply "Arc" - available from Insert 
menu that is relative
> to real date/price scale axis, so it does not suffer from the 
effect described by you.
> 
> So I guess everybody should be happy now. 
> 
> Best regards,
> Tomasz Janeczko
> ===============
> AmiBroker - the comprehensive share manager.
> http://www.amibroker.com
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: Dimitris Tsokakis 
> To: amibroker@xxxx 
> Sent: Wednesday, August 22, 2001 8:57 PM
> Subject: [amibroker] Fibonacci (Optical) Illusions
> 
> 
> I do not run Metastock software.
> So I do not have the problem of center of cycles tapped 
> here and there.
> I run Amibroker and with 3.68 I have a new tool, "Fibonacci arc".
> The center is always at the same, user selected, point C.
> The beginning of the trendline is always at H, independent
> of zoom factor or window shape.
> The release note, as usual well prepared and comprehensive,
> notes that "arc radius and central point are relative to the 
controlling 
> trendline and because Fibonacci arcs must be circular regardless 
of 
> screen size/resolution and zoom factor the position of the arcs 
may 
> move in date/price domain." And it is 100% exact and specific.
> So, let us see what we have here.
> It is supposed that something happens and so I will take some 
action
> (buy, sell or whatever "analysts" suggest here and there) when 
stock
> graph crosses the arc. For simplicity, let us consider outer arc 
in attached
> gifs.
> According to F1.gif, I have to wait 22(!!) days for point A.
> F2.gif is "better". Only 5 days more and I will meet my good 
fortune at A.
> All of a sudden, at F3.gif, I see that this is THE DAY. And if I 
do not remember
> by heart, I have to read my "analyst" guidelines again, because I 
have to take
> the ACTION. You understand that if I will loose the day of the 
coincidence, I 
> must wait for the next opportunity.
> But at F4.gif I stay cool again. If point A was important, alas!, 
I lost it, because
> I was not using the PROPER zoom factor !!
> My "cross" day is now 45(!!) days AFTER point A.
> I read a lot of hints, that circular arc are "standard", that any 
other elliptical arc
> is "dangerous" for trading decisions, because "analysts" etc.
> Now I have to read again my books, to find the paragraph that 
correlates
> Fibonacci Arcs and Zoom factor and Window size, as decision tool 
for
> Support, Resistance and whatever.
> I am disappointed with this new "illusionary" tool. It is in 
direct disagreement
> with the VERY SERIOUS LEVEL of the software I use.
> 
> Dimitris Tsokakis
> (an Amibroker user)
> 
> Yahoo! Groups Sponsor 
> 
> 
> 
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of 
Service.