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I too have found a simple (2 inputs, no smoothed indicators) intermediate 
term (2 days - 2 months) model with painfully loose stops has worked best for 
me... The model is purely mechanical, and trades the S&P's long and short.  I 
trade around the model, and go against it once in a while, but it almost 
always cost me money.  I still have not learned to stick to it 100%--I guess 
that is out of boredom.
-Seth
 
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