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[EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Buy High or Low? - an informal poll



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Each trade is as long as it takes to reach the sell condition.


j '-)
http://www.metastocktools.com



--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Carl van Heerden" <cj.vh@xxx> 
wrote:
>
> How long is the long run? Based on one bar and one indicator I 
would not know (4)
> 
> Carl
> 
> 
> --- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Jose Silva" <josesilva22@> 
> wrote:
>
> 
> Hmmm... perhaps I've made it sound more complicated than it needs 
> to be.
> 
> Imagine it's 7pm in the evening, 3 hours after market close, and 
> the day's final data arrives.  We now know today's Open, High, Low
> and Close of the day with 100% certainty.
> 
> We look at our finalized data, and find that today our favorite 
> stock has closed within 4% of today's High.  Our decision now is:
> 
>  1) Go Long at tomorrow's Open (strategy Y).
> 
> OR
> 
>  2) Go Short at tomorrow's Open (strategy X).
> 
> 
> Which strategy is more likely to be profitable in the long run?
> 
> ---------------------------------------------
> 
> Strategy Y:
> ==========
> 
> * Buy Long at tomorrow's Open if today's Close was within
>   4% of today's High.
> 
> * Sell Long at tomorrow's Open if today's Close was within
>   4% of today's Low.
> 
> 
> Strategy X:
> ==========
> 
> * Buy Long at tomorrow's Open if today's Close was within
>   4% of today's Low.
> 
> * Sell Long at tomorrow's Open if today's Close was within
>   4% of today's High.
> 
> ---------------------------------------------
> 
> 
> Y is basically a short-term trend-following strategy.
> X is basically a short-term contrarian strategy.
> 
> So, which strategy is more likely to be profitable in the long run, 
> Y or X?
> 
> 
> jose '-)
> http://www.metastocktools.com





 
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