[RT] Fw: [TimeandCycles]dndn&hgsi, RealTraders Email List Archive

Ben

----- Original Message -----
From: "Roy A. Fellars"
Date: Monday, April 27, 2009 12:04 pm
Subject: Re: [TimeandCycles] Yahoo is going ballistic on wrong postings
To: "TimeandCycles@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"

> Joe:
>
> good old Yahoo... never can quite tell.
>
> The reason I like 1198 as first choice on this rally is three-
> fold. But, first a couple of structure notes...
>
> I have the wave down from 10/11/07 ending in structure on
> 11/21/08 at 741.43. Everything else since has been a complex
> correction of that. The first move up from 11/21/08 ended on
> 1/6/09 at 942.14. The wave down from 1/6/09 ended in structure
> on
> March 9th at 673.43. The next wave up ended on March 26th at
> 832.86. It was corrected 33.3% in the low on March 30th at
> 779.81.
>
> Let's do the math.
>
> 1 942.14 - 741.43 = 200.71.... 200.71 * 2.618 = 525.46 ....
> 673.43 + 525.46 = 1198.89
>
> 2. 832.86 - 673.43 = 159.43 .... 159.43 * 2.618 = 417.38
> .... 779.81 + 417.38 = 1197.19
>
> 3. My target for the end of this bear market is 588-9 from
> larger structures. 1198- 588 = 610 a pure fibonacci number.
> 1576-589 = 987.... another pure fibonacci number and 610/987 = .618
>
> The first two math notes above show a-b-c's directly targeting
> the 1198 area where wave a and c relate 1:2.618. Until the
> market
> proves otherwise, I am taking that as *gospel*...
>
> Roy
>
> --Original Message Text---
> From: Joseph Ehardt
> Date: Mon, 27 Apr 2009 08:40:22 -0700
>
>
>
>
>
> Yahoo! does absolutely weird stuff. NOW IT HAS INCORRECTLY
> POSTED TWICE WITHIN MINITES.
>
> Look at the mesage that Yahoo! just posted by me with regard to
> SPX UPDATE in your mailboxes (or at the My Groups
> website). What follows below is my copy contained in my SEND
> ITEMS box. What the heck happened to my text in that
> posting.
>
> Weird..........
>
> Joe
> Silicon Valley, CA
>
>
> From: Joseph Ehardt [mailto:joseph.ehardt@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Monday, April 27, 2009 8:31 AM
> To: 'TimeandCycles@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx'
> Subject: RE: [TimeandCycles] spx update
>
>
>
> Hello Roy and Jim,
>
> The following targets are an outgrowth of some Fibonacci
> relationships to numbers mentioned by both of you.
>
> For discussion purposes (which the market may invalidate),
> assume that the rally from March 6th at 666.79 low has ended on
> April 24th at 871.80.
> This was a 205.01 point rally (which I might think of as Wave A
> of Primary 2, or something in that vein).
>
> 1) If there is a 38.2% retracement, we get to Jim's question, a
> target of 796 (Wave B). Adding 205 points to that number
> produces a Wave C target
> of 1,001.
>
> 2) If there is a retracement to 806, as Roy has been suggesting
> for quite some time now, then the Wave C target is 1,011.
>
> Compare those numbers to the 38.2% retracement of the decline
> from October 2007 to March 6, 2009: it generates a target price
> of 1,014.
>
> Just some interesting confluences of a target zone generated by
> different aspects of the Fibonacci analysis. When I get a
> cluster of two or more
> targets from completely different degrees of wave relationships,
> I become very interested in that "strange attractor." Something
> of a natural
> harmonic, I suppose.
>
> Joe
> Silicon Valley, CA
>
>
> From: TimeandCycles@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> [mailto:TimeandCycles@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Roy A. Fellars
> Sent: Monday, April 27, 2009 8:05 AM
> To: TimeandCycles@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: [TimeandCycles] spx update
>
>
>
>
> Thanks Jim...
>
> My target continues to be a fibonacci retracement of the move
> from 779.81 to 810.48 .... best guess is the ..146 at
> 806 even but any one of the bunch will do. the closest to 796 is
> 795.15 (50%). I doubt much lower than 806 though
> because the odds strongly favor the higher fib retraces (.146,
> .090 or .055) when the b wave goes this far above the
> top of the impulse.
>
> Roy
>
> --Original Message Text---
> From: Jim Nicolosi
> Date: Mon, 27 Apr 2009 07:49:54 -0700 (PDT)
>
>
> Hey Roy...hope you had a good weekend.....if it makes it to the
> 877 area, would you be lookng to a pullback to the
> 796ish area?
>
> Kind regards,
>
> Jim - Knoxville, TN
>
> The race is not always to the swiftest, but to those who keep on
> running...
>
>
> From: Roy A. Fellars
> To: "TimeandCycles@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"
> Sent: Monday, April 27, 2009 10:06:56 AM
> Subject: [TimeandCycles] spx update
>
> Good morning. The opening salvo this morning may have made a
> short term bottom.. We landed on the 38.2% retracement line on
> the 835 low on the 23rd and bounced from there. Taking this as a
> day trade with a close stop because I think we've either ended
> the
> b wave from April 1st or, one more move to the 877 area spx will
> do it. This morning's waves suggest the latter.
>
> Roy
>
>
> Joe
> Silicon Valley, CA
>
>
>
>
>
>
>