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Re: [RT] How Effective is Fourier Projections



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Jim,
 
I'm constantly doing this type of thing to try to select the
best cycle lengths for current trading.  Here is a set of
pictures on 1 hour bars.
 
Remember, cycle stuff is better for timing (inflection points)
than is for actual price levels.
 
Clyde
 
----- Original Message -----
From: Jim White
Sent: Monday, December 29, 2008 1:34 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] How Effective is Fourier Projections

Very interesting Clyde. Have you done similar analysis using daily or lower data?
Jim
----- Original Message -----
From: Clyde Lee
Sent: Monday, December 29, 2008 11:24 AM
Subject: [RT] How Effective is Fourier Projections

Attached are 3 charts of the DOW Industrials.
 
In each of the charts I used one of my Fourier Strategy
applications to (at the end of the year) "optimize" the
period of two Fourier cycles and a Linear Regression
curve for maximum return.
 
Then I allowed the application to PROJECT prices
for the next 52 weeks.
 
One chart analysis ends 12/31/06, and
one chart  analysis ends 12/31/07, and
one chart  analysis ends 12/31/08.
 
This approach may not provide good price levels of
projection but typically is excellent for showing
direction.
 
The method used is very reliable insofar a showing
the direction of trading in the near 2 or 3 weeks
of time.  These far time projections are interesting
but somewhat unreliable.
 
I hope you use this information for you continuing
trading.
 
Clyde
 
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Clyde Lee                                SYTECH Corporation
7910 Westglen                       Phone:  713.783.9540
Suite 105                                    Fax:  713.783.1092
Houston, TX  77063     www.theswingmachine.com
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