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Short-Term Geocosmics:
There are
no major geocosmic signatures in effect this coming week. The
cosmic action ended last week, and correlated with a major or
primary cycle trough in many markets, especially stocks. Now
we have to see how high this current rally will carry equities
before we can determine whether or not the 4-year cycle crest
actually ended with the crests of May 4-12. To determine that,
we will need to examine carefully the structure of this rally,
and how long it lasts. If the bull market is still intact, the
rally should last more than 8 weeks. If bearish, it would
likely last less than 5 weeks. Our next test via geocosmics
will come June 4-22, our third huge cluster zone of the year.
The former were March 1-17 and April 30-May 10. Both hit
perfectly.
In the
June 4-22 period, there will be seven Level 1 signatures
(strongest correlations to primary or greater cycles). We also
had seven Level 1 signatures in the April 30-May 10 time band.
Most noteworthy in the June 4-22 period is the second passage
of the Jupiter-Saturn waxing square of June 22. Also important
will be the waxing square of Sun-Uranus (June 5) and Uranus
turning retrograde (June 19). With Uranus, you must expect
volatility, and the unexpected. It is an ?earthquake? dynamic,
which means it shakes things up from the norm. Markets will
likely move in very sharp price increments, exhibiting strong
rallies and powerful declines. With Jupiter square Saturn,
greed (Jupiter) will run head long into fear (Saturn). Look
for a top around these periods, followed by another disturbing
decline right afterwards. I anticipate the amplitude of these
swings will be very evident in the Silver too ? perhaps even
more so than in stocks.
Long-Term Thoughts:
I am
oftentimes asked how long and how high do I think Gold can
soar (and fall)? First of all, consider that we are now in the
downside of the Saturn-Pluto economic cycle (from opposition
to conjunction). This 18-year phase lasts from 2001-2020. As
stated many times before, this is the part of the economic
cycle when federal deficits increase, interest rates rise,
economies stagnate (for the most part), and there are more
recessions that last longer and longer, while periods of
prosperity get shorter and shorter. In this phase of the
cycle, commodities tend to perform better than usual, and
stocks and bonds perform worse than usual. So in answer to
?how long can Gold be bullish?? my response is ?Probably into
the end of the next decade.? My guess is that Gold can top out
within two years of the January 2020 conjunction of Saturn and
Pluto. It last topped out in January 1980 with an all-time of
$850.00/ounce, and that was within approximately two years
before Saturn and Pluto formed their last conjunction.
From the
conjunction of Saturn and Pluto to their opposition, federal
deficits tend to be reduced, interest rates come down, and the
economy, bonds, and stocks tend to perform very well. It is a
time to be in the equity markets, investing your money into
the economy. However, precious metals and commodities tend not
to perform very well during this 18-year phase of the cycle.
We saw that from 1982 through 2001. Stocks did very well, but
Gold did very poorly. Now the cycle is reversed into 2020, +/-
2 years.
So how
high can Gold go? $2000.00-4000.00 is not out of the question.
And my colleague Manfred Zimmel of Austria presents an
argument for $6000.00. And yes, there will be smaller secular
bear markets in between now and 2020. I am referring here to a
long-term trend, an 18-year trend. Within that there are
smaller cycles that will have their downward trends. One may
be in effect right now as we approach the Moon's North Node
transit over the 0 Aries point around June 13-20. There are
always cycles within cycles. And the trend is ultimately
determined by the type of cycle you are looking at. In this
section, I am referring to an 18-year cycle, a lunar Nodal
cycle and half a Saturn-Pluto cycle. The 18-19 year cycle is
the most documented economic cycle in the study of cycles.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose:
The purpose of this column is not to predict the
future movement of various financial markets. However, that is
the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription
services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a
free service, except in those cases where a fee may be
assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from
English into a non-English language. This weekly report is
written with the intent to educate the reader on the
relationship between astrological factors and collective human
activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report
will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and
financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and
discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures
that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic
factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even
month, or even years, and the author?s understanding of how
these signatures will likely affect human activity in the
times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a
perspective of a cycle?s analyst looking at the military,
political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.
It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these
factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and
alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in,
from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will
help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that
underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence
financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being
made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the
responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the
publishers assume any responsibility at all for those
individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures
and options trading are considered high risk.
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