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[RT] market outlook



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USA

The S&P 500 consolidated in a narrow band for most of the week before a strong blue candle on Thursday signaled another rally to test resistance at 1245.




The long-term rising wedge pattern continues. A shorter-term consolidation, between 1245 and 1200, appears to be forming within the wedge pattern; a bullish sign that may result in a test of the upper border of the larger pattern. Twiggs Money Flow (21-day) continues to whipsaw around zero, giving no clear signal.







After a shaky start to the week, the Dow Industrial Average rallied with a strong blue candle on Thursday and appears headed for another test of resistance at 10700. A close above 10700 would signal another test of 11000; while a close below 10400 would signal a test of support at 10000. Twiggs Money Flow (21-day) has started to strengthen.

In the long term we can expect strong resistance at 11000 and strong support at 10000, with the index ranging between the two levels for some time, restraining advances on other US indices.




The Dow Jones Transportation Average ended its secondary correction with a sharp rally, following a steep recovery on Fedex and UPS that bodes well for more than just the transport sector. A rise above the March high would end the top pattern.




The Nasdaq Composite respected support at 2100 and appears headed for a test of resistance at 2200. Though less likely, a close below 2100 would signal a test of the lower border of the long-term bearish rising wedge pattern. Twiggs Money Flow (21-day) continues to whipsaw around zero, giving no clear signal.




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