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[RT] Re: COT on Currencies



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Futures are such a small piece of the total forex pie...I wonder how 
useful COT is anyway?

Chris

--- In realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Eliot Kaplan <eliot@xxxx> wrote:
> RTers,
> 
> Was just wondering if any of you currency experts might like to 
comment 
> on the following.
> 
> In the enclosed DX (US Dollar), EC (Euro), & CD (Canadian Dollar) 
COT 
> charts which I got from this weeks free Software North COT report, 
> http://www.softwarenorth.com/trading/
> 
> the implication seems to be that the commercials are quite long 
(and 
> getting longer) the US Dollar, short (and getting shorter) the 
Canadian 
> Dollar and the Euro. Yet the US Dollar's march south seems only 
> occasionally interrupted, and just yesterday, the Canadian Dollar 
broke 
> out of a measured move above its recent range. The Euro too does 
not 
> seem to be bearing out this prediction. Am I reading this 
incorrectly?
> 
> Of course, I know the commercials are often way ahead of the moves 
in 
> the market that bear out their predictions that the COT provides, 
yet 
> these charts seem so out of sync to me, that I expect some other 
> explanation is more relevant.
> 
> Earl, others, any thoughts?
> 
> Thanks.
> 
> Eliot
> 
> 
> 
> 
> Eliot Kaplan
> ISU, Inc.
> eliot@xxxx
> http://www.isu.com
> Voice: 805.565.7710



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