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Ben,
The analysis of the DOW monthly does not support
the idea of a
9 month cycle as being dominant at this
point. The spectral analysis
says it is now 8 months and that the peak of that
cycle might not
be expected until February.
I have show all the cycles that had sufficient
amplitude to justify their
inclusion in the model (red line).
Remember, this model is a lot better for indicating
direction of trading
than the level of trading. And, this is a
model based on monthly
closes which are plotted as the green
line.
Clyde
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Clyde
Lee
Chairman/CEO (Home of
SwingMachine)SYTECH
Corporation email: <A
href="">clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx 7910
Westglen, Suite 105
Office: (713) 783-9540Houston, TX
77063
Fax: (713) 783-1092Details
at:
www.theswingmachine.com- - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">profitok
To: <A title=clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx
href="">clydelee(clc)
Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 6:05
PM
Subject: Re: [SM] Re: [RT] The Market
environment
Hello Clyde
Very nice,
When you have time can you send the monthly
bars using a 9 month cycle and the 48 month
cycle.
the 9 month is due a high next
week.
nice week end
Ben
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx
href="">clydelee(clc)
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 12:51
PM
Subject: [SM] Re: [RT] The Market
environment
Earl,
As usual when folks look at the market over a
reasonable period
of time then I have to get in my 2
cents.
The Junk0.gif picture
is, insofar as SwingMachine is concerned,
still in the same place it was. The red
line is from the latest version
of a program which replaces
NewGun.
If we believe the red line then a top is now or
near so we might want
to FORCE A PIVOT and see what SwingMachine had
to say.
Junk10.gif is exactly that.
Clyde
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Clyde
Lee
Chairman/CEO (Home of
SwingMachine)SYTECH
Corporation email: <A
href="">clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx 7910
Westglen, Suite 105
Office: (713) 783-9540Houston, TX
77063
Fax: (713) 783-1092Details
at:
www.theswingmachine.com- -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
EarlA
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003
9:02 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] The Market
environment
One of my major guides will be the SP COT this weekend. If the
commercials have added significantly to shorts I will be more aggressive
than if they continue to muddle along at mid levels.
The setup in weekly old VIX (VXO) is ripe for a very fast and furious
decline of major proportions but one must read from all antennae.
Earl
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">profitok
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003
9:54 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] The Market
environment
Earl
you should not be greedy on this move
down
all I cold see for now is 50-75 sp
points(down)
then 1125-1150 is
possible,,
that is when you should load up on
your July puts
(down to 975-1000)
Ben
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
EarlA
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Wednesday, December 03,
2003 12:40 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] The Market
environment
Actually, the last five rallies have held at 127%
retracement.
Earl
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
EarlA
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Wednesday, December 03,
2003 10:23 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] The Market
environment
Just completed final third position of March 1150 Leap
Puts. I don't expect that there are more than a few points of gas
left in this tank ... perhaps a run to long term open targets
clustering around 1078+- but not much more. Look at last three
rallies on daily chart and you will see that each rally was
contained at 127% retracement of previous decline.
Earl
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=earl.a@xxxxxxxxxx
href="">EarlA
To: <A
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
; <A title=canslim@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">canslim@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Friday, November 14,
2003 7:22 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] The Market
environment
I'm still looking for price to hit my long term
cluster of targets around 1078 and am working order to complete my
put position. Market never does what is expected, but my best
guess is that we'll see a sharp spike high during which SP futures
inventory will move from weak bears to strong bears. Market should
then drop pretty sharply to something in range of 50% retracement
March-November.
EarlTo
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