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Alex
p/c could be some institutions
but when all index combine and then seprately dow, sp500, all very
bullish ratio
(everyone buying puts) for 3 days now
Ben
----- Original Message -----
From: "Alex Bell" <alex_bell@xxxxxxx>
To: "BobsKC" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, May 23, 2003 5:14 AM
Subject: Re[4]: [RT] spx daily
> Hello Bob,
>
> Sentiment is what people think/feel about market. And most of them
> bullish. As for what they are doing, I can't see how majority can be
> short - there always two side of the market. Do you mean majority of
> institutions?
>
> Best regards,
> Alex mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
>
>
> Friday, May 23, 2003, 5:06:42 AM, you wrote:
>
> B> Again, what is the bullish sentiment? What people tell pollsters or
what
> B> they actually do? If you go by what they are doing, and if you believe
in
> B> contrarian principals, (which you obviously do), then you would be
long.
>
> B> Bob
>
>
> B> At 03:18 AM 5/23/2003 +0400, you wrote:
> >>Hello BobsKC,
> >>
> >>I am short. To me highest bullish sentiment is a sign of near top.
> >>
> >>Best regards,
> >> Alex mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
> >>
> >>
> >>Friday, May 23, 2003, 3:01:13 AM, you wrote:
> >>
> >>B> Bullish sentiment may be high but in fact, shorting is robust and
getting
> >>B> stronger. So do we go by what people say or what they do?
> >>
> >>B> Bob
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >>B> At 02:52 AM 5/23/2003 +0400, you wrote:
> >> >>Hello Mark,
> >> >>
> >> >>%Bearish today is lowest since 1991:
> >> >>
> >> >>http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/streetools/inv_intel.asp
> >> >>
> >> >>". High readings suggest excessive optimism, which typically occurs
> >> >>when buying strength has been tapped out, and low readings represent
> >> >>depleted selling strength, and tend to precede market rallies. We
> >> >>normally view a bullish percentage higher than 55 combined with a
> >> >>bearish reading lower 30% as bearish for the market."
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>Best regards,
> >> >> Alex mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>Thursday, May 22, 2003, 9:36:17 PM, you wrote:
> >> >>
> >> >>MS> You meant "higher high", right ?
> >> >>MS> Don't underestimate the bulls....they are wildly optimistic right
> >> >>MS> now.....and holding this market up.
> >> >>MS> Bull-Bear survey ratio now at the highest point in years....
> >> >>MS> -----Original Message-----
> >> >>MS> From: none [mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> >> >>MS> Sent: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 10:40 PM
> >> >>MS> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >> >>MS> Subject: Re: [RT] spx daily
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>MS> Hello
> >> >>
> >> >>MS> I am with you that there is a high probability that we make a
> >> >>lower high
> >> >>MS> tomorrow or Fri. and then collapse
> >> >>MS> Ben
> >> >>MS> ----- Original Message -----
> >> >>MS> From: Rhonda Guilbeaux
> >> >>MS> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >> >>MS> Sent: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 7:37 PM
> >> >>MS> Subject: [RT] spx daily
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>MS> Last quarter's candle waist 882.
> >> >>MS> right at the 200 dma area.
> >> >>
> >> >>MS> Higher support..at the 898 area.. (near the rising 50dma)
> >> >>MS> Wouldn't be surprised to see this price level tested.. and
also to
> >> >>MS> hold, initially
> >> >>MS> anyway.
> >> >>MS> if not, 867-882 looks to be a good higher support area.
> >> >>MS> Breaking above last weeks highs and more important
> >> >>MS> 953-955 then I am incorrect in my assessment that last
week's
> >> >>MS> high is "semi" important and perhaps
> >> >>MS> a slightly stronger pullback than what
> >> >>MS> we've seen thus far coming off the
> >> >>MS> March higher low.
> >> >>
> >> >>MS> Tend to think any high made latter week
> >> >>MS> will be a lower high than last weeks
> >> >>MS> high as
> >> >>MS> last weeks low was broken below.
> >> >>MS> I do
> >> >>MS> Best,
> >> >>MS> Rhonda
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >>
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> >> >>
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