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Re: [RT] Cotton/ Copper



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Don,

  What is after the fact?  I offered to prove I bought it at 2820, what more
do you  want?

Cheers,

Norman


----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Tuesday, November 13, 2001 10:59 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] Cotton/ Copper


> Well we AGET fans did not use as you say, have your advantage,
>
> "Planetary math pointed me to 2830 which is where I
> entered my limit to buy 1 Dec.  I was filled at 2820"
>
> the exact low . . . .
>
> But then again that would be "a bit" after the fact wouldn't it, Norm.
> don ewers
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Norman Winski" <nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Tuesday, November 13, 2001 6:33 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] Cotton/ Copper
>
>
> > Don,
> >
> >    I am hoping I can help your GET friends by selling them part of my
> cotton
> > position as we approch the 40 cent area on March.  Once that happens,
> either
> > way will make me happy.  Thanks for your input.
> >
> > Charitably,
> >
> > Norman
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Tuesday, November 13, 2001 7:00 PM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] Cotton/ Copper
> >
> >
> > > Norm,
> > > Well, you will like what AGET daily chart shows today as of the close,
a
> > > "little" 1-2-3 up.
> > >
> > > The 60min count indicating another low is possible is near a extreme
> wave
> > 4
> > > point (.618) also, so the count could change favorably in your
direction
> > if
> > > prices move higher?
> > >
> > > If you look at the wave 3 on the daily (July), that is where I made my
> > > "stab" at a long (thinking it was a wave 5 at the time), assuming the
> rise
> > > in late April/May was wave 4 (even though the 5/35 oscillator did not
> get
> > to
> > > zero). I should have listened to the oscillator (and maybe your late
> > summer
> > > low prediction at the time)?
> > >
> > > Thanks for the interesting info on the S.A. cotton connection.  Like
> > > soybeans, the increased supply can distort things (I was thinking
> China).
> > > Down the road these "other" countries need to be factored into our
> trading
> > > somehow?
> > >
> > > Hope the AGET charts help solidify your position and a move above that
> > .786
> > > on the 60min would be good for you.  Note the  10/70 oscillator is
just
> > > above zero, so nearing a critical time if a reversal were to occur.
> > >
> > > Me, I will try to find a wave 2 pullback (real one vs one "initially"
> > shown
> > > on the daily) when it occurs.  I like that "higher-high , higher-low
> > stuff".
> > > good luck and good trading cotton,
> > > don ewers
> > >
> > > Good luck.
> > > don ewers
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Norman Winski" <nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Tuesday, November 13, 2001 5:28 PM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] Cotton/ Copper
> > >
> > >
> > > > Don,
> > > >
> > > >   My cotton friends tell me that Brazil is producing Cotton for a
cost
> > of
> > > > about 35 cents. US farmers need 50 cents.  That means the true cost
to
> > the
> > > > market is probably somewhere in between the two. I don't think
anyone
> > will
> > > > be growing cotton under 30 cents unless they have a govt. subsidy.
Of
> > > course
> > > > if demands picks up, and retail numbers just improved today, its a
> whole
> > > new
> > > > ball game.
> > > >
> > > > Cheers,
> > > >
> > > > Norman
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > To: "Real Traders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > Sent: Tuesday, November 13, 2001 5:58 PM
> > > > Subject: [RT] Cotton/ Copper
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > Does anyone on the list know why cotton has traded "so far below"
> > > > historical
> > > > > levels "fundamentally?
> > > > >
> > > > > Is it the slower economy or new world production (China?) similar
to
> > > > > soybeans (South America) that has caused this severe price drop to
> > > happen?
> > > > >
> > > > > Has something "fundamentally changed" or just an oversold market
> > swing?
> > > > > These types of drops normally play heck with the charts indicating
> > > > something
> > > > > else is "in control"?
> > > > >
> > > > > Further if indeed cotton and copper may have bottomed (any others
> ?),
> > > the
> > > > > "I" word will start to appear soon?
> > > > >
> > > > > Whats next coffee which is also at historic lows (see chart)?
> > > > > don ewers
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
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