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Re: [RT] Bonds



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Here it is.  Ira

"Dorothy K. Carter" wrote:

> Does anyone on this list track volume on Dec bonds.. I use to track vol and
> open interest but just don't have time to do it anymore... if anyone on the
> list has vol and open int on Dec Bonds for the last two weeks I'd really
> like to take a look at it... my guess is that it has been rallying on lite
> volume which would indicate that next week  the bonds will probably fail at
> double top.   They may not get above  106 4/32
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 3:49 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] Bonds
>
> > Well one thing for sure, the lower the bond yields, the more the price
> > volatility, so a spike is certainly possible depending on how things
> unfold?
> > don ewers
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Dorothy K. Carter" <dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 1:55 PM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] Bonds
> >
> >
> > > Don:  They have rallied back further than I  anticipated they would.
> Next
> > > week will be interesting to see if this advance is through......
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: "Real Traders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 2:48 PM
> > > Subject: [RT] Bonds
> > >
> > >
> > > > Dorthy,
> > > > You have repeatly mentioned that you thought DEc bonds will reach 98
> > > (which
> > > > I would tend to agree with direction wise, once the apparent market
> lows
> > > are
> > > > in).
> > > > But before that happens, is it possible the bonds go higher, first?
> > > >
> > > > Attached is what AGET is showing currently.
> > > >
> > > > The 60min, I went to "short term count" and the 5/17 oscillator since
> > the
> > > > 5/35
> > > > and 10/70 oscillators have both lost control (in the original count
> and
> > > long
> > > > term
> > > > counts). It indicates bonds are possibly headed higher and they are in
> a
> > > > wave 3 (a wave 4 correction will occur along the way at some
> > > > point). The MOB above has not been reached (doesn't mean it has to, it
> > is
> > > > just a target that if reached would provide some resistance). I what
> > if'ed
> > > > in the first two hours today.
> > > >
> > > > The daily chart says 5 waves are in but the MOB was not reached and if
> > > there
> > > > is a new count down (1? and 2?) the the wave 2 went way too high?  I
> am
> > > > thinking that the prior drop was minor wave 4 of wave 5?  So again
> bonds
> > > > could move
> > > > higher. I what ifed in todays action so far (106-02 high).
> > > >
> > > > The weekly says we have yet to complete wave 5 also. The MOB there is
> > > > substantially higher (off of a different pivot, the old high in 1998).
> > > Looks
> > > > to me like we also
> > > > are putting in a weekly inside bar.
> > > >
> > > > So just a thought, that we could move higher, before we go lower.
> > > >
> > > > I would be interested in any thoughts on a spike move up at least to a
> > new
> > > > "current" high above 107-01 please. If a double top spike top on the
> > > > weekly's were to occur, well that would be a gift for all of us (to
> > sell),
> > > > but highly unlikely, that was a LTC thing.
> > > > don ewers
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
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> > > >
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> > > >
> > >
> > >
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> >
> >
> >
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