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Ralph: Backing your concerns on deflation
are the collapse of commodities this last week. Yes, often during stock
market meltdowns traders flaten positions either to meet mgn calls or just
because history tells you to get out of harms way... but it is
bothersome.. With weak US$, foreigners selling U.S. assets...... Dec Bond
target 98.04.. all of this spells a mess
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Ralph Volpe
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Saturday, September 22, 2001 12:16
AM
Subject: Re: [RT] MKT - DJIA possible
comparison
Just one more thought on whether we are entering a period of
stagnation. I heard today that the market lost $1.2 trillion dollars this week
alone. That's a lot of 'wampum' to deflate the economy. On a similar note, the
markets around the world are also experiencing similar declines, so the
deflationary effect is magnified by a much larger magnitude.
Ralph
Tony Pylypuk wrote:
Clyde Lee wrote: <FONT
face="Times New Roman">"Are we getting ready to go into a stagnation period
as we did from 1965 until 1982. Has
this "bubble" and now the terrorist attack hit us hard enough to cause our
economy to stagnate for 15 to 20 years???" <FONT
face="Times New Roman">That certainly seems possible. As I have noted
previously, since 1929 we seem to have alternated between 15 year
contractions and 20 year expansions. Attached is the INDU chart posted
two weeks ago, updated for subsequent trading. <FONT
face="Times New Roman">Regards, <FONT
face="Times New Roman">TonyTo
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