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Re: [RT] Re: No evidence for lower NASDAQ yet



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I think the lesson to learn here is: Test everything yourself!!!

I too have seen very logical sounding statistics and systems presented by
known, well-endorsed, successful traders *fail completely* under rigorous
historical testing.

Based on my experience, personally, I wouldn't trade a system or trust a
statistic given to me by God without testing it first myself.  If I can't
test it, I don't use it.

Robert

> Bill,
>
> The statistics were done on daily bars, the book was praised by:
>
> Perry Kaufman, author of Trading Systems and Methods,
> Jerry Sweeney, Interim Editor, Technical Analysis of Stocks  &
> Commodities.
> Edward Dobson, President, Traders Press, Inc.
> Thomas A. Bierovic, Manager, Strategy Testing & Development, Omega
> Research, Inc.
>
> I did not verify his statistics, I wonder how he did it and whether
> we can find a way to run historic back testing to confirm it.
>
> Haytham


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