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Re: [RT] 60 yr cycle & sentiment + Pattern correlation



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I saw no attachment-
Steve
----- Original Message -----
From: "Stan Book" <sbook@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Sunday, December 03, 2000 11:35 AM
Subject: RE: [RT] 60 yr cycle & sentiment + Pattern correlation


> A pair of alternating 20 year cycle produce a 40 year cycle. Since Slawelp
> is going back 40 years to 1960, it appears to me he is referencing this 40
> year cycle.
>
> The attachment shows the correlation between 1940-60 and 1980-00.
>
> The apparent alternation of 20 year cycles suggests that investors who
have
> learned to buy and hold over the past 20 years may be disappointed over
the
> next 20.
>
> -Stan
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Carl Vanhaesendonck [mailto:carl.vanhaesendonck@xxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Thursday, November 30, 2000 5:13 AM
> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: [RT] Re: re:60 yr cycle & sentiment + Pattern correlation
>
>
> I must be very dense also but...do not see any pattern correlation
> between the 1940-41 chart and actual DJ pattern...
> This said, I can agree that actual DJIA chart, plotted in weekly
> bars, shows some vague H&S pattern since early 1999. As it shows a
> wonderful and dangerous Diamond Pattern, which has since then failed
> on both sides. Which let us with a longe and large (9600-11900)
> trading range of nearly 2 years. As we know, trading range appearing
> after a long run up (or down) is rather a continuation pattern.
> I would therefore rather expect DJIA to break to the upside, with a
> target above 14000 pts.
> And if you stick with the H&S pattern, H&S failures (price do not
> cross the neck line but do the opposite and cross the last "Shoulder"
> pivot) also generate strong move.
> Exciting !
>
> Carl
>
> --- In realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx, SLAWEKP@xxxx wrote:
> > You right this chart represents end of 1940 & Jan 1941,
> > basically You subtract 60 yrs from today's date.
> > this chart Told me to be out of the market by end of march 2000,
> > buy on may 16th 2000, so far showed good hi/low rotation
> > & Feb 8th (+/- 4days) 2001 as a buying point after severe decline
> from Jan
> > 10th 2001 (presidential election gridlock???) Its confirmed by
> other methods
> > as very important date
> >
> > slawek
>
>
>
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>
>
>
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>


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