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Re: [RT] Market - Nasdaq



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Yes, short term the globex action created the 180 degree turn in thinking,
but read on.  There are at a minimum two views, intraday and end of day.
The long term end of day viewed by the CVnaznya(see next post for
attachment) has clearly been one of bearish volume and as Ben says
cumulative net volume wins.  Thus the short term intraday view of the CVnaz
and CVnya showed a volume turn up on Wednesday which is a counter trend, and
tradeable against the longer term EOD.  When Gateway came out with their
earnings the ES and NQ dropped precipitously.  So, as of now a gap opening
in the day session should drop the OEX to the lower regression channel line
at about 702.  However, statistics says it may pause at 704 to 706, and
failing those three levels it goes to 699 to 694 for only a strong down day.
Crash mode, ala -2 std dev, would see 687(see second post for chart).


----- Original Message -----
From: "Dan Harels" <harelsdb@xxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Wednesday, November 29, 2000 3:52 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] Market - Nasdaq


> Bob,
>
> I am intrigued by what appears to be a 180 degree change in your thinking
> between Sunday and this afternoon (Wednesday).  Sunday you seemed to
expect
> a tradable rally while in a post this afternoon you concurred with Earl
> regarding poor breadth in the Nasdaq and seemed to imply you are expecting
a
> large move down.  I am sure your ability to change your mind quickly was
> gained through hard experience and it would be instructive for me if you
> walked through your thought process to get from "load the boat" to - 2
sigma
> in three days.
>
> Thank you for all of your thoughtful posts.
>
> Dan
>
>
> >From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> >Reply-To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx
> >To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx>
> >Subject: [RT] Market - Nasdaq
> >Date: Wed, 29 Nov 2000 10:12:18 -0800
> >
> >Oops, sent the CVnya on the previous post.  Here is the CVnaz, looks a
bit
> >more lame than the one for the NYA.
> >
> >bobr
> ><< CVnaz.gif >>
>
>
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Attachment: Description: "CVnaz.gif"

Attachment: Description: "CVnya.gif"