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We've just dramatically increased the number of variables, so I am sure
someone could come up with something that worked really well.
-----Original Message-----
From: drwar [mailto:drwar@xxxxxxxxxxx]
Sent: Thursday, 25 June 2009 1:39 AM
To: markbrown@xxxxxxxxxxxxx; 'Omega-List'
Subject: RE: EPOXY and The Hardening Theory
That?s the ticket!! , and all the time my models were based on how fast
S**T would slide downhill. Sometimes it would hardly move at all and other
times someone would step in it and both they and the S**T would accelerate
wildly down the hill.
Just joking guys, back to serious....
Marks concept is an interesting corollary. The key is of course, is the
switchover mechanism. Number of Points is a start and maybe that could be
Optimized to give the best price proxy.... Say using least squares to
determine the best fit.
J~
-----Original Message-----
From: markbuilt@xxxxxxxxx [mailto:markbuilt@xxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Mark
Brown
Sent: Wednesday, June 24, 2009 11:16 AM
To: Omega-List
Subject: EPOXY and The Hardening Theory
my wife bought one of those george foreman grills and i unpacked it to
discover a rattle in it. so being me i took it apart and found one of
the plastic studs had broken off inside it where the screw goes to
attach the grill to the housing. at first i super glued it and let it
set overnight and it promptly broke again as i re assembled it. so
now out comes the good stuff, some industrial strength epoxy from the
old days when looking at it would give you cancer. so i mixed up a
batch and smeared it all over with a thick coat and then took a much
needed break as the glue hardened. while i drank my dr. pepper i was
poking the tooth pick into the excess epoxy testing the progress of
hardening. as the glue got harder i started standing the toothpick on
end to see if it would stand upright. of course it would not stay and
it would eventually fall over. what i did notice is that the (tp)
would stay upright for quite some time and it would slowly start to
lean, but once it got going it would accelerate a bit and then towards
the end it would slow its decent a bit prior to laying flat.
i thought about how this was like the market. stagnant the market
seems lifeless and without direction. then it slowly moves and as it
moves it gains momentum and has some purpose and intent it seems.
than about the time you think it will continue, it decelerates and
comes to a halt faster than it began. mathematically if one were to
dampen a simple indicator like a moving average for example. it would
look something like this in three phases. exponential average -
simple average - weighted average and so the first part of the moving
average would use an exponential average calculation for the first x
fraction number points of data and then switch to a regular moving
average for x fraction number of points of data and then finally
switch to a weighted average for the final x fraction number of bars.
I know there has been some weighting of averages in the past but don't
know for sure if anyone has ever thought about the way a (tp) falls
when embedded upright into a puddle of hardening epoxy?
mark brown
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