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[EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Position Sizing



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

you don't know what is a CFD?

contract for difference

the most hot leverage product in europe right now

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contract_for_difference

you can trade cfd's with:

www.saxobank.com
www.cmcmarkets.com


regards




--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Lionel Issen" <lissen@xxx> wrote:
>
> What is CFD?
> 
>  
> 
> Lionel
> 
>  
> 
> From: equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> On Behalf Of leeontherun
> Sent: Saturday, June 21, 2008 9:31 PM
> To: equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Position Sizing
> 
>  
> 
> POSITION SIZE CALCULATION & CAPITAL RISK
> 
> There seems to be a lot on formula generation but one thing I learnt 
> after a few years of trading is that your formulas and backtest work 
> can pretty much be thrown out the window if you don't take the time 
> to size up your risk especially if you are heavily margined. 
> Personally, with CFD's I can margin 100 times my intial equity, so 
> there is huge risk involved.
> 
> I'd like to share with you some results of research and in return 
> hope for other's research on position sizing or articles they have 
> read and can submit. It is worth taking the time to post this 
> information.
> 
> In the Equismetastock yahoo group 'Photos' you will find a folder 
> called 'Position Sizing' that this post refers to. This folder has 
> several graphs on position size calculations. I'd advise you visit 
> the photos section now and save the pictures to your computer.
> 
> My research involves using a % of your capital to trade in place of a 
> fixed position size. That means that as you take winners and your 
> capital grows, so does your position size and in effect gives you 
> exponential growth. The reverse of this is if you were to take some 
> losers first then your % of capital to trade size will be getting 
> smaller, but in the long run you should be able to pull yourself out 
> if your backtested plan shows larger number of winners than losers.
> 
> This backtested plan showed the largest number of consecutive losers 
> was given to be '4' with the average loss size shown on the left hand 
> side of the results chart depending on what % of capital you trade.
> 
> Now here is the trick!
> 
> Lets assume we hit the worst case scenario and took '4' consecutive 
> losers first before we had a regular pattern of winners and losers.
> 
> When graphing this information, if you look at the chart of 4 
> consecutive losers it shows you a sweet spot of what % of capital 
> would be best used before it starts to have a poorer efficiency i.e. 
> you ideally would like to keep on the left hand side of the curve 
> before the peak. So in this example 10% or maybe even 12.5% of 
> capital should be traded.
> 
> Now say you wanted to play it safe and use a fudge factor that we may 
> get 5 consecutive intitial losers or maybe even 6, then you just need 
> to look at the respective charts.
> 
> This is so far working great for my trading.
> 
> Lee.
>



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