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Markov processes



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Hi Neo

Those are advanced ideas that traders check out to see if they are
applicable to their trading. Unfortunately there is not a lot of easy access
to understanding them. Reading Math is very close reading. Not at all like
reading a novel.

At least for me, it's all very slow going and difficult.

Best regards

Walter

----- Original Message -----
From: neo <neo1@xxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, September 06, 2001 3:33 PM
Subject: RE: Numerical Linear Algebra


> Perhaps someone could help but I must be out of the loop. What are the
> Markov, Hilbert, Hurst, and R/S functions?
>
> thanks, neo
>
>
> ~  -----Original Message-----
> ~  From: owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> ~  [mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]On Behalf Of Jeff Haferman
> ~  Sent: Thursday, September 06, 2001 4:42 PM
> ~  To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx; metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> ~  Subject: Re: Numerical Linear Algebra
> ~
> ~
> ~  W Lake wrote:
> ~  >Hi Michael
> ~  >
> ~  >Congratulations on where you've been able to get to in your
> ~  trading setup.
> ~  >I'm envious and humbled at the same time. Obviously you're already
> ~  >established where I'm wanting to go. Will get back to you on Markov
> ~  >processes either on or off List if you like.
> ~  >
> ~  >I have just finished a year of Excel work with some other
> ~  traders. They have
> ~  >finally put together all of the Hilbert functions plus the Hurst and
R/S
> ~  >stuff. So Markov's are next on my list. Unfortunately, Excel
> ~  can't go there
> ~  >very well.
> ~  >
> ~  >Here's the home site for the guy that wrote the Matrix
> ~  Forecasting - Linear
> ~  >Algebra article in the August issue of Futures Mag
> ~  >
> ~  >http://www.racecom.com/
> ~  >
> ~  >Best regards
> ~  >
> ~  >Walter
> ~  >
> ~  >
> ~  >----- Original Message -----
> ~  >From: MikeSuesserott <MikeSuesserott@xxxxxxxxxxx>
> ~  >To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> ~  >Sent: Thursday, September 06, 2001 6:43 AM
> ~  >Subject: AW: Numerical Linear Algebra
> ~  >
> ~  >
> ~  >> Hi Walter,
> ~  >>
> ~  >> as a guy who likes to use Markov processes a lot as a means
> ~  of quantifying
> ~  >> trading decisions, I can certainly confirm that 300-row
> ~  matrices can and
> ~  >do
> ~  >> occur in "every-day" calculations. Luckily for today's computer
users,
> ~  >> today's computers are equal to the task.
> ~  >>
> ~  >> To give a concrete numerical example of a larger-type matrix
> ~  calculation,
> ~  >I
> ~  >> had Mathematica build a 300x300 matrix consisting of
double-precision
> ~  >random
> ~  >> numbers between 0 and 1 (as would be typical for transition
> ~  probabilities
> ~  >in
> ~  >> Markov chains). I thought it might be instructive to list the
> ~  durations
> ~  >for
> ~  >> Mathematica to define the 300x300 matrix, then take its
> ~  determinant and
> ~  >its
> ~  >> inverse - quite a task, actually, which not so long ago would have
> ~  >required
> ~  >> an expensive workstation computer to do the calculations in
reasonable
> ~  >time.
> ~  >> Here are Mathematica's results on my old 450 MHz PIII, and,
> ~  mind, running
> ~  >in
> ~  >> interpretive mode, i.e.. without compilation:
> ~  >>
> ~  >> Fill 300x300 matrix with double-precision numbers:  0.1 sec
> ~  >> Take the determinant of that matrix:                0.4 sec
> ~  >> Invert 300x300 matrix:                              1.7 sec
> ~  >>
> ~  >> As we know from working with Hilbert matrices, it is good to
> ~  be suspicious
> ~  >> of larger-scale iterative results; so I checked the results
> ~  by doing the
> ~  >> same calculation with higher than double-precision accuracy
> ~  which is 16
> ~  >> digits. I chose an internal precision of 50 decimal digits; the
above
> ~  >> results had been OK, though, and times were just a little
> ~  longer for the
> ~  >> high-accuracy calculations, with 0.5 sec and 1.8 sec, respectively.
> ~  >>
> ~  >> I don't know if this is of any interest to you or the list,
> ~  just thought
> ~  >I'd
> ~  >> add my two cents' worth.
> ~  >>
> ~  >> Best,
> ~  >>
> ~  >> Michael Suesserott
> ~  >>
> ~  >>
> ~  >> > -----Ursprüngliche Nachricht-----
> ~  >> > Von: owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> ~  >> > [mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Im Auftrag von W Lake
> ~  >> > Gesendet: Thursday, September 06, 2001 15:59
> ~  >> > An: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> ~  >> > Betreff: Numerical Linear Algebra
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > Hi Lionel
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > As the introductory paragraph at the site says:
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > "... software for the solution of linear algebra problems ..."
> ~  >> > "... for solving problems in numerical linear algebra, ..."
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > trading is not mentioned
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > Most college books on linear algebra usually deal with small
> ~  >> > matrices, i.e.,
> ~  >> > 3 rows x 5 columns, whereas in business and in trading you are
> ~  >> > going to need
> ~  >> > at least 300 rows x "lots" of variables, etc. Problems of
> ~  this size are
> ~  >> > referred to as numerical linear algebra.
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > Michael can probably be of more help in describing the
> ~  >> > "difference" between
> ~  >> > the two. The terms used become complicated and merge with
> ~  >> > computer science,
> ~  >> > i.e., linear programming.
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > Some of the programs listed at the site are for parallel
> ~  >> > processing or even
> ~  >> > for large supercomputers, i.e., Crays, but as you know, we
> ~  >> > average guys are
> ~  >> > dealing with more horsepower every year.
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > Best regards
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > Walter
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > ----- Original Message -----
> ~  >> > From: Lionel Issen <lissen@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> ~  >> > To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> ~  >> > Sent: Wednesday, September 05, 2001 8:37 PM
> ~  >> > Subject: Re: Numerical Linear Algebra
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> > > Can you tell me if the first site is oriented towards
> ~  trading or is it
> ~  >a
> ~  >> > > strictly linear algebra site?
> ~  >> > > Lionel Issen
> ~  >> > > lissen@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> ~  >> > > ----- Original Message -----
> ~  >> > > From: "W Lake" <wlake@xxxxxxxxx>
> ~  >> > > To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> ~  >> > > Sent: Wednesday, September 05, 2001 11:59 PM
> ~  >> > > Subject: Numerical Linear Algebra
> ~  >> > >
> ~  >> > >
> ~  >> > > > Thanks
> ~  >> > > >
> ~  >> > > > was not aware of this site of available software. It sure
makes
> ~  >> > searching
> ~  >> > > > easier <G>
> ~  >> > > > http://www.netlib.org/utk/people/JackDongarra/la-sw.html
> ~  >> > > >
> ~  >> > > > Trefethen and Bau's book looks very ineresting.
> ~  >> > > > http://www.siam.org/books/ot50/index.htm
> ~  >> > > >
> ~  >> > > > I guess someday you really have to graduate to the big
> ~  matrices <G>
> ~  >> > > >
> ~  >> > > > Thanks again
> ~  >> > > >
> ~  >> > > > Walter
> ~  >> > > >
> ~  >> > > >
> ~  >> > >
> ~  >> > >
> ~  >> >
> ~  >> >
> ~  >>
> ~  >
> ~
> ~
>