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Re: [amibroker] Re: Wall Steet Journal on System Investing


  • Date: Sun, 14 Feb 2010 00:01:45 +0100
  • From: Jens Lueckhof <jens_lueckhof@xxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re: Wall Steet Journal on System Investing

PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

C < Ref(C,-1) AND Ref(C,-1) < Ref(C,-2) AND Ref(C,-3) < Ref(C,-4) AND 
Ref(C,-4) < Ref(C,-5);

should read

C < Ref(C,-1) AND Ref(C,-1) < Ref(C,-2) AND Ref(C,-2) < Ref(C,-3) AND 
Ref(C,-3) < Ref(C,-4);


wavemechanic schrieb:
>
> *You have too many "Ref". Drop the -5.*
> **
> *Bill*
>
>     ----- Original Message -----
>     *From:* droskill <mailto:droskill@xxxxxxxxx>
>     *To:* amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>     *Sent:* February 13, 2010 5:03 PM
>     *Subject:* [amibroker] Re: Wall Steet Journal on System Investing
>
>     For some bizarre reason I'm having trouble duplicating his
>     results. It looks, from his example - like his requirements are that:
>
>     C < Ref(C,-1) AND Ref(C,-1) < Ref(C,-2) AND Ref(C,-3) < Ref(C,-4)
>     AND Ref(C,-4) < Ref(C,-5);
>
>     And yet, this does not give the entry outlined in AKAM on the date.
>
>     For reference - here's the description (the picture shows the C <
>     O on all days):
>
>     Akamai (AKAM). Oct. 28, 2009 (on the close) to Nov. 3, 2009 (on
>     the close)
>
>     Akamai shares fell four days in a row - from a close of $21.60 on
>     Oct. 22 to to $20.16 on Oct. 28 close where the system enters the
>     position. Then, on Nov. 2 and 3 the stock was up two days in a
>     row, closing at $22.56 on Nov. 3, 2009, where the system exits the
>     position for a gain of 11.71%
>
>     So I added a condition - a requirement that the close is lower
>     than the open on all days.
>
>     Buy = C < Ref(C,-1) AND C < O AND Ref(C,-1) < Ref(C,-2) AND
>     Ref(C,-1) < Ref(O,-1) AND Ref(C,-3) < Ref(C,-4) AND Ref(C,-3) <
>     Ref(O,-3) AND Ref(C,-4) < Ref(C,-5) AND Ref(C,-4) < Ref(O,-4);
>
>     And this still did not get the right entry.
>
>     I get an entry on 10/26/09 - but looking at the chart I can see
>     the candles in that timeframe have days where C is clearly greater
>     than the O (which should be ignored if I've coded this right).
>
>     The rules, as he describes them:
>
>     Rule of the 4×2 System:
>
>     Buy: If a stock goes down for four days in a row, buy at the close
>     of the fourth day.
>
>     Sell: If a stock you own in the 4×2 system goes up for two days in
>     a row, sell at the close of the second day.
>
>     What am I missing?
>
>     --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>     <mailto:amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Bob Waits <bobwaits2@xxx> wrote:
>     >
>     > Very interesting article in WSJ
>     >
>     > http://bit.ly/cs0ZnU <http://bit.ly/cs0ZnU>
>     >
>
>
>
>
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>
> 



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